TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66bc…25c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT33221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 332 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+536.9%+$168.6
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+2,073.9%+$381.59
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.29
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.8
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.91
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.59
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.26
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 332 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.99
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+73%+$72.98
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.64
Grass Court Championships: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauffbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Brescia: Julia Grabher vs Anastasiia Sobolievabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkaribacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$56.56
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$33.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.