TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90bf…3348

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6633.3%22 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.1%+$438.65
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.94
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.92
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$830.51
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+424.8%+$2,994.29
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$635.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,059.99
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,609.98
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$1,253.1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,869.42
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,028.49
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$7,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+754.7%+$52,979.98
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.98
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.99
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.91
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.99
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.48
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$597
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.97
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,773.22
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+2,172.7%+$3,258.99
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.94
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700.99
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+102.4%+$3,204.12
Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.6%+$95.72
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$573.54
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$165.46
Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31%+$281.7
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.6%+$501.61
Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.9%+$224.54
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$7,148.8
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$648.09
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$146.37
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200.04
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$602.88
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-86.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$159.3
Will Hillary say "White House" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hillary say "Donor" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Hillary's remarks not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.53
Will Hillary say "Daughter" during her Epstein testimony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56.71
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$694.46
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+138%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+165%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+429.9%+$1,825.37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$217.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,466
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.