Movies · resolved market
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3199230710f374cf385ab68ae551ba6f790d450e8d02c92914c755dece4306cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,325 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 13c | 13,459$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,733.28 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Yes | 16c | 2,539$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,095$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 59c | 964.1$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 6c | 793.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.79 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 79c | 700$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Yes | 49c | 650$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 475.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.76 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked Yes | 49c | 441$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 12c | 350.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 6c | 288.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 55c | 273.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 43c | 262$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 11c | 249.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 56c | 246.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 56c | 226.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 41c | 205.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 41c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 191.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 7c | 180$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…e8f5backed Yes | 22c | 175.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 47c | 173$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 62c | 161.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 13c | 157.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c406backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 76c | 145.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 56c | 138.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 78c | 125$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…ed4dbacked Yes | 31c | 125$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 41c | 93.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 45c | 73.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 72c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 43.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 62c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 66c | 31.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 58c | 28.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed Yes | 58c | 28.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 26.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 54c | 21.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 75c | 13.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?this page
- Will Alex Henderson get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Alex Lowrie get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Amber Morrison get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Ashley Carpenter get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Brennan O'Callaghan get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Bri McNees get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Brittany S. get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Brittany Wicker get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Bry Thomas get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Chris Fusco get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Christine Hamilton get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Connor Spies get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Devo Anderson get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Dynasty Ballard get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Emma Betsinger get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Haramol Gill get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Jennifer Underwood get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Jessica Barrett get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Jordan Faeth get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Kevan Jones get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Kevin Verhoef get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Mike Gibney get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
- Will Priyanka Grandhi get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Rosalyn Ransaw get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Steven Sunday get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Tyler Hunt get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Tyler Lanier get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?No won
- Will Victor St. John get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.