TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will Priyanka Grandhi get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,088 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes12c1,610$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.29745.4%44 W · 53 L+22.0wins+0.23per pick23cpaid+88%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xee76…8fedbacked No76c1,563$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.393378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,399$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.331,3938%111 W · 1,282 L-47.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes3c767$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.312109.5%20 W · 190 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes5c426.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.761114.5%5 W · 106 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes2c411.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.065215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes5c318.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0513337.6%50 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes9c262$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9429926.4%79 W · 220 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes9c196.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.381549.7%15 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…11cdbacked Yes36c99.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.29119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-81.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes27c96.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31,21817.8%217 W · 1,001 L-124.0wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x07e3…2899backed Yes16c67.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x296d…ed4dbacked No43c66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621675%12 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+69.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5cc7backed Yes37c54.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked No34c53.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.371546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+47.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.320841.8%87 W · 121 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.