TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb50…7bfc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,525
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
29

Best Category: Boxing, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 57 out of 100; worst Earnings at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT17243.6%75 W · 97 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+518%+$175.15
Megaquake by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70%+$25.11
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$8.2
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.61
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$52.46
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.01
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$138.38
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$339.15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$48.68
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$110.11
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.65
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.8%+$128.11
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$111.4
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.41
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.44
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100.5%+$151.54
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.17
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+91.7%+$345.39
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$72.59
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.8%+$112.09
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+57.3%+$91.48
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+219.9%+$394.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$106.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.9%+$75.68
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT15951.6%82 W · 77 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$73.21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.94
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$41.35
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.15
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$32.26
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$23.15
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$48.33
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$60.93
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,896.54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$316
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.98
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.24
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+147.3%+$145.46
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+189.8%+$77.59
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+208%+$58.16
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+371.5%+$276.19
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.03
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.95
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.63
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+293%+$110.93
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT15131.1%47 W · 104 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.58
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$378.89
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.03
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$51.92
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33%+$20.61
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$55.54
Will Apple reach $284 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.61
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
Will Amazon reach $268 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Meta reach $730 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36%+$12.99
Will Tesla reach $465 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Tesla reach $450 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$65.03
Will Google reach $365 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$57.74
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+97.9%+$56.5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.35
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.63
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+57%+$5.93
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.1%+$84.48
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+30.8%+$21.59
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT13337.6%50 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$107.08
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.74
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$217.94
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$117.47
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.29
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.6
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.98
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$269.89
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$83.33
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.86
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.05
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$195.15
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.26
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$47.24
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+184.2%+$67.74
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.1
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$377.42
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.82
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$12.99
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$58.95
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$191.05
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$56.54
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$422.46
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$102.21
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.71
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$28.37
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62%+$72.05
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$120.35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$43.19
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.83
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$54.27
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$41.17
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.28
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT8943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$37.72
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27%+$85
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$181.24
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30.38
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$163.38
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.18
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+202.6%+$350.13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$313.13
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$27.47
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$342.98
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$173.91
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$52.79
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$243.17
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$136.43
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.17
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$20.61
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT8344.6%37 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.41
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.87
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$233.44
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.84
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.53
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$6.15
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.8
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+133%+$451.64
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$99.59
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$113.4
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+157.8%+$74.89
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.22
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+134%+$296.42
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+763.2%+$276.66
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$61.13
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$83.38
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.19
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT7439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+40.6%+$989.97
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.3%+$375.67
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$154.04
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+45.6%+$71.57
Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$103.19
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$287.85
Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$87.86
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.56
Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.37
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.12
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$72.91
Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$153.53
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.21
Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$41.59
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.8%+$167.1
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.4%+$13.78
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.38
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.75
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.5%+$84.71
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.27
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.93
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$98.44
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST6914.5%10 W · 59 L-8.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68.63
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+68.2%+$14.63
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$57.97
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.04
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$129.72
Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.15
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.48
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45.04
Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.59
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$34.26
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+41.2%+$49.14
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+98.1%+$102.95
Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66.28
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$104.58
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.5%+$347.16
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$53.66
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+83.2%+$18.19
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.56
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6833.8%23 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$28.59
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.87
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$10.73
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.86
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+488.4%+$670.01
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+253.8%+$97.17
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$29.75
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.34
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.88
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.04
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.89
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.05
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.39
Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.19
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120.06
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.9%+$267.34
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.25
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$118.26
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$40.05
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$283.77
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$49.03
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38%+$63.67
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+215.3%+$37.77
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+265.6%+$117.82
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.79
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+76.7%+$10.78
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.29
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.46
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.59
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.7%+$24.24
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+165.2%+$163.66
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$107.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+284.6%+$33.46
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$90.11
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST5151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$714.45
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.4%+$221.76
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$305.71
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+74.7%+$213.69
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$219.7
Will Poland record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will the United States win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+41.9%+$59.29
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.98
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$65.87
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$279.13
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43%+$49.61
Will Norway win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25.1%+$26.1
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+59.1%+$450.61
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.74
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.1%+$64.52
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75.74
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$285.76
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.85
Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.96
Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.9%+$80.96
Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$90.05
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$136.02
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$197.15
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$614.3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.82
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$88.52
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$316.09
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$412.72
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$47.87
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$381.55
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$266.92
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$81.46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$126.3
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $7.00 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108.77
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$332.35
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.5%+$60.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.8%+$46.12
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$779.79
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$159.4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+30.7%+$4.5
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$79.53
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+328.9%+$257.99
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$223.9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38%+$277
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$298.06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+82.6%+$279.42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33%+$64.46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$118.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25.1%+$202.27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+30.3%+$100.26
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$275.63
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.2%+$158.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+27.8%+$96.27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40%+$724.21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+36.7%+$206.32
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+39.5%+$74.51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$276.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.7%+$307.05
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$150.47
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$106.03
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.61
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.59
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$40.06
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.77
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.35
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.88
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+257.4%+$82.15
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+485.7%+$101.11
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$12.8
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$90.6
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.1
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$126.45
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.2
2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.41
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.6%+$147.88
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+52.5%+$526.27
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37.8%+$324.67
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$639.15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$78.57
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$57
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+164.5%+$28.26
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$45.55
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.28
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+232.3%+$231.16
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$14.41
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+155.9%+$190.54
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.69
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$23.63
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.66
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+305.9%+$80.21
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$93.54
Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60.16
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.62
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.7%+$42
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.1
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+325.8%+$107.18
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+456.2%+$221.5
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.74
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$488.83
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.3%+$508.07
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$146.64
Will Atvara win Supernova 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$126.35
Will Ollie win Eesti Laul 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$119.25
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
Will Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$310.62
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+79.7%+$285.12
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$111.58
Will any artist win 5+ Grammys this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$401.21
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.2%+$124.79
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.12
Will "Golden - Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+141%+$119.91
Will "APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+405.4%+$76.07
Will "Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+245.4%+$150.34
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$312.41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.56
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$89.85
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.54
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.47
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$70.43
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.81
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79.87
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.89
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38.95
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+181.4%+$278.49
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed US Strikes Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+54.6%+$25.41
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30.02
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$169.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+102.6%+$946.48
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.31
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25.5%+$35.11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+36.4%+$100.38
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$126.69
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.5%+$204.58
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+32.8%+$207.97
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$114
Will monthly inflation be between 2.3% and 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+133%+$114.15
Will monthly inflation be between 2.6% and 2.8% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+76.6%+$157.09
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.94
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49%+$77.95
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.87
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+235.4%+$686.07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+224.8%+$208.73
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$205.56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+64%+$81.82
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$27.62
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$208.12
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.01
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$221.34
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$48.96
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.84
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.65
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$28.06
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+109%+$111.9
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$30.24
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$67.28
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.44
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+373%+$131.72
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.23
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$19.03
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.43
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.3%+$254.79
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.86
Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+54.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75%+$411.15
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+167.2%+$968.25
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+74.4%+$512.73
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,434.48
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.1%+$16.35
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+71.8%+$33.7
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52%+$102.66
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+57.5%+$223.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$340.72
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$136.68
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.4%+$7.8
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.74
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.68
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+233.6%+$73.53
All 8 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-66.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$174.5
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$97.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$72.2
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$186.82
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$16.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.7%+$82.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171.74
Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.5%+$87.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$115.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball regular season championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rampage win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.