World Politics · resolved market
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190aac2f60ce91f9a15889f34a5a9582c4bbfd809869e4bf8dc943a0fa96f167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 75c | 4,101$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.67 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 3,113$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.14 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 24c | 1,670$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d67…ba00backed No | 64c | 1,560$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 71c | 1,525$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.45 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Yes | 53c | 1,497$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…a312backed Yes | 5c | 1,331$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,162$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked No | 48c | 1,115$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 15c | 987.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 17c | 974.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.04 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 19c | 841.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.02 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5d…df97backed Yes | 25c | 806.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 12c | 800$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 80c | 789.03$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed No | 18c | 760.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked Yes | 20c | 754.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…83b7backed No | 14c | 733.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 20c | 700$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6eb3backed No | 7c | 670.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 33c | 631.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Yes | 18c | 628.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…b102backed No | 28c | 616.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…62b1backed Yes | 18c | 540.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 19c | 525$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 53c | 487.84$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 18c | 479.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…6a63backed Yes | 21c | 478.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 16c | 450$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 22cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked No | 16c | 450$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 11c | 450$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +341.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…d3adbacked No | 11c | 450$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +341.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 19c | 448.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…495cbacked Yes | 23c | 433.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…d28bbacked Yes | 19c | 409.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eef…7066backed Yes | 25c | 398.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked No | 9c | 350$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +527.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 338.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…0faebacked Yes | 30c | 336.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked No | 75c | 319.93$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8b…d275backed Yes | 45c | 237.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 26c | 234.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 56c | 230.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…d9dbbacked No | 74c | 225.9$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 204$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…60babacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed No | 53c | 193.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…b51abacked No | 74c | 191.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 180.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…2b65backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 39c | 178.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 175.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…4a98backed Yes | 29c | 173.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…aee3backed No | 64c | 155.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2accbacked No | 73c | 147.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 45c | 145.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 75c | 129.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 15c | 126$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…c27ebacked Yes | 19c | 123.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 18c | 111.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 20c | 108.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…f3babacked Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 33c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…3a30backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…5c7abacked Yes | 22c | 89.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 78c | 83.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…81ccbacked Yes | 25c | 80.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 77c | 80.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 18c | 77.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 23c | 76.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 21c | 75.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 79c | 73.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 22c | 72.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…7c2abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…51e4backed Yes | 21c | 67.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked No | 74c | 67.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…da20backed No | 76c | 65.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb67…afcabacked Yes | 24c | 63.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 31c | 62.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…0de7backed Yes | 20c | 60.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…f4adbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 66c | 60.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 19c | 58.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…92a2backed Yes | 32c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…54d7backed Yes | 26c | 57.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed No | 77c | 51.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.