TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97ea…3363

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
660
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT16058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,569Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$714.57
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$451.6
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,566Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$766.59
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,272Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$371.18
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,322Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$3,526.09
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,088.68
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,099.81
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$2,074.01
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$248.36
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+204.2%+$3,505.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$529.04
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$679
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$720
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,013.16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$1,580.1
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,004.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$2,907.71
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$810
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.32
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,922Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$1,358.6
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.14
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,154.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,813Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$2,519.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,214.75
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$670.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$854.63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,177.56
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$563.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.21
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$267.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$851.44
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,625
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11,421Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$5,416.77
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,072.08
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,188.18
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$2,329
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$3,073.98
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,815.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,050
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,563Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$1,769.87
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$825
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.28
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$3,204.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,867.54
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,574.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,954.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$579.31
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$84.18
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT11859.3%70 W · 48 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.91
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.97
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,014.5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,678Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$830.88
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$350.09
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.47
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.51
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$501.41
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$47.59
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.93
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,706.01
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+30%+$20.03
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$1,575.63
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.03
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$137.66
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$403.33
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$5,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+677.4%+$34,931.31
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$156
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+422.1%+$3,183.33
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+531.8%+$4,932.65
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$187.49
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$314.27
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$708.07
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say "Mars" during NASA news conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$92.59
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$849.29
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.1
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$553.82
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,031.03
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.48
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$2,446.19
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.7
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.97
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.35
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.24
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$698.12
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$145.25
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$1,880.92
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.65
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.06
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,522.42
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.54
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.34
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.18
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$221.16
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5040%20 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$802.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,800
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$500
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,076
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of July 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,699Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$511.14
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.94
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+2,426.3%+$391.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$251.81
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,933Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$9,615.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$21.52
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+835.4%+$9,321.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$3,098.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58%+$395.85
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.47
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$69.73
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$269.5
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,799Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$980.76
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,783.15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$401.6
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$233.31
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.1
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.05
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,439.99
Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$43.91
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$1,728.55
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Brazil vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.34
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+260.2%+$378.91
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.66
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.71
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,066.56
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.44
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40%+$60
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,046.46
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2600 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$196.86
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.27
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.6
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.7
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$57.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,777.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.94
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$208
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$473.17
Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$80
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$52.16
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$188
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.3%+$51.91
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+91%+$512.63
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$114.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,989Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+538.9%+$16,106.82
Will Lisa Nandy be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,904Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$1,540.54
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.49
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,589.48
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.07
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$526.97
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$928.02
Will Ant Middleton not summit Everest by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$281.35
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$914.28
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$478.57
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.69
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$562.76
Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$73.84
Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.21
Will Trump say "America" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Trump say "Fake News" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$14.81
Will Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.42
Will Trump say "Biden" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$7.64
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,068.49
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$604.98
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$235.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+45.6%+$84.34
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+70.6%+$207
Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+47.6%+$35.32
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$103.23
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$201.49
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65.23
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$124.45
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+92%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-70.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,045
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+48.4%+$609.68
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$126.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+194.1%+$660
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$7,006.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+87.7%+$218.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$769.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$515.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$186
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.