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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof M80, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$595,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74b7…8b0bbacked M8046c10,606$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.283531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed FURIA43c9,827$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,576.6410957.8%63 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA42c8,588$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.641,63645.9%751 W · 885 L+35.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed M8058c8,389$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.8617854.5%97 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed FURIA45c7,740$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,256.4838646.6%180 W · 206 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FURIA33c7,700$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,195.6923330.9%72 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA69c6,788$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.661,07849.5%534 W · 544 L+42.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked FURIA58c6,730$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.6324446.3%113 W · 131 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA74c6,166$4,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.2591147.5%433 W · 478 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA40c6,144$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.021,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed FURIA50c6,046$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,046.074250%21 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f0…b287backed M8042c5,700$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3941816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed M8024c5,653$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.4125748.6%125 W · 132 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed M8034c5,458$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.3548046.3%222 W · 258 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed FURIA17c5,202$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.791735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA17c5,042$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.334,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9a2…77d3backed FURIA68c4,314$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked M8022c4,030$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.629647%139 W · 157 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed M8045c2,907$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.5640346.7%188 W · 215 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked M8029c2,860$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked FURIA39c2,743$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.2393645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked M8031c2,624$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.9559134.7%205 W · 386 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed FURIA70c2,603$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.5424253.3%129 W · 113 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed M8053c2,499$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.952,56143.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FURIA70c2,495$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.9915546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked FURIA40c2,470$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.3126343.3%114 W · 149 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed M8030c2,463$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked FURIA63c2,460$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.5842454.7%232 W · 192 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FURIA68c2,317$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.0798840.7%402 W · 586 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed FURIA9c2,126$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92611952.9%63 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA55c2,021$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.482,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed M8060c2,012$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006544.6%29 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5c4…fe32backed FURIA17c2,011$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+139.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked M8023c2,009$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.254311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-13%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed M8050c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076350.6%386 W · 377 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked FURIA50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.998960.7%54 W · 35 L+13.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed FURIA69c1,999$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.634057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FURIA34c1,941$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.8834448.8%168 W · 176 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed FURIA34c1,820$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.1221942.9%94 W · 125 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87cb…6232backed FURIA67c1,722$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.132272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed FURIA59c1,697$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FURIA33c1,612$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.313,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked M8047c1,504$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FURIA19c1,501$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.581,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed FURIA38c1,500$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.155540%22 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked M8023c1,465$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.355536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed M8031c1,411$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.412445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed FURIA64c1,400$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50410451%53 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked M8014c1,400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962025%5 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed FURIA35c1,370$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.216036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA47c1,368$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.62,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2525…3dddbacked FURIA67c1,357$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.371631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4858…3dd3backed M8037c1,349$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8033c1,340$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.85,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA43c1,268$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.381,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed FURIA51c1,267$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.5514357.3%82 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked M8044c1,230$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.272,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab8…7edbbacked FURIA10c1,193$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+400%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed FURIA18c1,192$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.66850%34 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked M8035c1,185$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.664461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed FURIA67c1,170$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3850564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed M8029c1,156$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5330551.5%157 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked M8010c1,154$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0232322.6%73 W · 250 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked M8029c1,149$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.216848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed M8040c1,139$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6920940.7%85 W · 124 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed M8061c1,114$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.442,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3342…f908backed M8058c1,112$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.12040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed M8030c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed M8025c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017850%89 W · 89 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3664…db10backed FURIA52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed M8027c950.6$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1412239.3%48 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ee…c77cbacked FURIA71c937.18$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.772356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed FURIA22c926.51$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1819737.1%73 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA44c911.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7882851.9%430 W · 398 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FURIA63c885.28$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.623,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed FURIA22c880.38$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.6512543.2%54 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41a…aa9fbacked FURIA30c847.16$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.161631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed FURIA59c843.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.8717352.6%91 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x136b…c35abacked M8034c834.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.91735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed M8029c813.3$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8626148.7%127 W · 134 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7467…e978backed M8058c811.57$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.711560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked FURIA70c797.35$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2124054.2%130 W · 110 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8044c753.96$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.335,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FURIA61c709.98$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.540768.1%277 W · 130 L+28.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec9…8d0bbacked M8058c692.91$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.891080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fd…eecfbacked FURIA50c691.52$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed FURIA74c658.53$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.714055%22 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bc…9d13backed FURIA51c645.6$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.391729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked M8079c636.25$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.9846057.2%263 W · 197 L-21.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x235d…450bbacked M8025c625$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked FURIA30c585.34$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4942644.4%189 W · 237 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…3467backed FURIA58c551.99$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.474080%32 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked M8063c541.21$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5637939.8%151 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed FURIA68c540.1$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3624954.2%135 W · 114 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked FURIA25c538.82$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.821758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA21c528.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.058,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8789…e320backed M8058c516.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed M8036c512.76$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8523540.9%96 W · 139 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA44c509.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6184342.2%356 W · 487 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed M8038c505$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.93638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.