CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be37d37af7a9e1e254eb65448ad32e59230abbb07e37a987113eb0c719cee91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of FURIA, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa103…1c14backed M80 | 47c | 7,739$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.63 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed FURIA | 53c | 7,557$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked M80 | 49c | 2,262$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.08 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURIA | 51c | 1,143$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.85 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed M80 | 47c | 970.59$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.41 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA | 53c | 810$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 769 | 45.3%348 W · 421 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…6401backed FURIA | 53c | 363.55$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed M80 | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked M80 | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed FURIA | 53c | 275.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 288 | 41.7%120 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed FURIA | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FURIA | 53c | 105.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…7392backed FURIA | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed M80 | 48c | 87.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 227 | 49.8%113 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked FURIA | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked FURIA | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 606 | 55.1%334 W · 272 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…57e0backed M80 | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked FURIA | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 395 | 41.5%164 W · 231 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.