CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8daf48f0535f71fd7e736da82289a61f7351a837a1599110c7aeb6292faa8b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 7,991$4,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.44 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 39c | 5,922$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.42 | 196 | 42.3%83 W · 113 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 25c | 2,668$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.46 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Over | 39c | 1,396$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed Over | 39c | 1,346$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 76c | 791.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.23 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…2827backed Over | 39c | 777.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 770.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 565.73$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 57c | 490$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.51 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 61c | 461.13$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 37c | 421.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 63c | 370$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 36c | 343.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 827 | 44.4%367 W · 460 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…a37ebacked Under | 64c | 336.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Under | 61c | 189$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 57c | 111.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 2,829 | 37.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L | -138.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 64c | 89.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 20c | 78.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Over | 25c | 73.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 38c | 71.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 45c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 381 | 49.3%188 W · 193 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 75c | 45.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 37c | 41.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,066 | 39.7%423 W · 643 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 57c | 34.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,512 | 58.1%878 W · 634 L | +67.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Over | 57c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…a87fbacked Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.