CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39bc42ac0651fc73022abc685b242593c94da37d1e1dc5c1097f516aaa9c8daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed FURIA | 56c | 119,405$66,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,692.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…77d3backed FURIA | 54c | 85,000$45,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,100 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed M80 | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed M80 | 47c | 42,553$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed FURIA | 53c | 38,802$20,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,236.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked M80 | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 797 | 52.7%420 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…0bd2backed M80 | 46c | 35,000$16,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,149.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked M80 | 46c | 31,482$14,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,356.64 | 239 | 45.2%108 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed M80 | 47c | 30,113$14,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,052.97 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked M80 | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 53c | 22,980$12,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,713.51 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed M80 | 44c | 21,700$9,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,548.1 | 280 | 56.1%157 W · 123 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked M80 | 44c | 20,777$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,149.63 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FURIA | 53c | 17,644$9,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,292.5 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed FURIA | 55c | 15,439$8,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,947.35 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA | 53c | 10,639$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.31 | 358 | 54.2%194 W · 164 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked M80 | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA | 53c | 7,048$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.58 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 46c | 5,000$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305 | 804 | 39.7%319 W · 485 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed M80 | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed M80 | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 728 | 46.3%337 W · 391 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 45c | 3,444$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.45 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed M80 | 44c | 3,018$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.53 | 988 | 40.7%402 W · 586 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked FURIA | 60c | 3,004$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.37 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed M80 | 47c | 2,910$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.61 | 1,101 | 51%561 W · 540 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked FURIA | 55c | 2,496$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.3 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA | 54c | 2,198$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.54 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed M80 | 53c | 2,109$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed M80 | 45c | 2,057$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.45 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…602bbacked M80 | 45c | 2,054$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed FURIA | 56c | 2,054$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.57 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed M80 | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed FURIA | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed FURIA | 58c | 1,898$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.8 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FURIA | 53c | 1,862$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.67 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked FURIA | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 258 | 40.3%104 W · 154 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked M80 | 45c | 1,777$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.64 | 200 | 52%104 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA | 54c | 1,501$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.88 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 769 | 45.3%348 W · 421 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed M80 | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed M80 | 69c | 1,452$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked FURIA | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked FURIA | 56c | 1,108$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked FURIA | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed FURIA | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked FURIA | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA | 53c | 856.97$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed FURIA | 53c | 843.72$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed FURIA | 54c | 754.72$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.17 | 631 | 56.4%356 W · 275 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed FURIA | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 405 | 57.3%232 W · 173 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked M80 | 46c | 712.98$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed FURIA | 56c | 712.5$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed FURIA | 53c | 700$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 605 | 41%248 W · 357 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked M80 | 73c | 682.9$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.3 | 765 | 53.3%408 W · 357 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked M80 | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked M80 | 45c | 661.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed M80 | 45c | 659.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed FURIA | 49c | 659.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.39 | 1,512 | 58.1%878 W · 634 L | +67.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked M80 | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked FURIA | 54c | 650$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 504 | 45.8%231 W · 273 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed FURIA | 75c | 639.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 379 | 54.9%208 W · 171 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked M80 | 45c | 610$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FURIA | 53c | 594$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed FURIA | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked FURIA | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed FURIA | 54c | 551.85$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed FURIA | 56c | 550$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA | 54c | 525.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed FURIA | 54c | 517$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FURIA | 53c | 511.28$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 634 | 54.6%346 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed FURIA | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 403 | 54.6%220 W · 183 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked M80 | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 785 | 47.3%371 W · 414 L | -26.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked M80 | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked M80 | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed FURIA | 54c | 490.25$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA | 21c | 489.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.68 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked FURIA | 54c | 471.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed FURIA | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…f032backed FURIA | 54c | 441.7$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked M80 | 40c | 430.42$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.17 | 990 | 52.5%520 W · 470 L | +26.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FURIA | 53c | 426$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 762 | 54.9%418 W · 344 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed FURIA | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed FURIA | 56c | 401.69$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 269 | 50.9%137 W · 132 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed FURIA | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed M80 | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked FURIA | 55c | 361.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FURIA | 36c | 351.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 628 | 38.2%240 W · 388 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed FURIA | 54c | 348.48$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed FURIA | 56c | 347.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed FURIA | 55c | 336.44$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed M80 | 45c | 332$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked M80 | 47c | 331.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 317 | 51.4%163 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…ac79backed FURIA | 54c | 304.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed M80 | 45c | 282.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked M80 | 56c | 275.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed FURIA | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked M80 | 45c | 214.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed FURIA | 56c | 214.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed FURIA | 54c | 214$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed FURIA | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)M80 won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.