TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5dab…22e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,984.8
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67,752Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39,747.02
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$8,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,515.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125,077
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,504.95
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65,213.73
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$244,871.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$321.54
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77,437.72
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41,378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$41,377.67
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$64,759.38
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85,258.44
Team Falcons to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,997.93
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$271.48
Aurora to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104%+$24,008.95
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$111.63
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,789Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$15,974.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,530.77
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15,424.78
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32,966Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$27,274.36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,580.11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,085.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,550
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,999.99
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,072.14
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66,961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104%+$69,667.69
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64,692.6
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,844.71
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$101,682.16
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99,760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72,239.96
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$127,682.29
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51,207.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,065.14
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,000
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27,282.62
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,998.19
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49,994Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$44,306.86
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18,826Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$13,407.92
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,519.87
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,276.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120,585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$82,953.59
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,400
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,007.96
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128,209.4
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71,023.94
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,997.99
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,000
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99,875
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51,975
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79,662Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$53,714.05
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,916.37
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$8,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,401.75
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61,737Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$39,146.58
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$20,783.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,100.66
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$139,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139,797.07
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66,488.61
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197,199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92,799.58
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98,999.96
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26,001Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$19,652.44
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$171,816Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$105,388.75
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79,631Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$98,605.62
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$71,533.94
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32,897Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$34,594.79
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,672.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$31,149.84
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,713.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91,952Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$47,369.41
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,436.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32,535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$41,408.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48,185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96%+$46,263.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$316,009Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$238,392.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$29,587.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,316.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,667.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,773.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.