NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Oilers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06d23cbd28fa8673b44c5397b6aab7d049dec4da54aee42e021ddb421996e4ee

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Oilersof Ducks, Oilers
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,370,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,432,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,370,339 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers	58c	540,636$313,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227,573.44	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Ducks	42c	330,959$139,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139,485.64	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Ducks	42c	200,000$84,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,000	224	43.8%98 W · 126 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers	58c	101,231$58,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,390.52	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Oilers	58c	100,891$58,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,518.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Oilers	57c	71,218$40,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,593.91	485	45.4%220 W · 265 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Ducks	43c	62,914$27,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,053.02	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Ducks	42c	60,212$25,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,288.95	243	49.8%121 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Oilers	58c	50,000$29,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,000	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks	42c	40,830$17,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,170.58	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Ducks	43c	37,973$16,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,316.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Ducks	43c	35,000$15,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,050	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Oilers	57c	32,335$18,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,904.08	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ducks	42c	30,027$12,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,611.34	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Oilers	58c	30,000$17,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,600	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers	68c	28,439$19,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,961.88	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Oilers	63c	21,275$13,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,895.4	274	48.9%134 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks	42c	21,139$8,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,878.38	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ducks	42c	17,992$7,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,556.79	485	49.7%241 W · 244 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers	57c	16,009$9,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,834.04	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Ducks	28c	14,762$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,200	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Ducks	45c	14,222$6,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,400	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Ducks	42c	13,066$5,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,488.21	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Ducks	42c	12,450$5,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,228.95	448	48.9%219 W · 229 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ducks	44c	12,039$5,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,297.25	566	49.5%280 W · 286 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Oilers	56c	11,232$6,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,933.14	629	51.2%322 W · 307 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers	59c	11,176$6,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,587.68	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks	36c	10,755$3,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,915.69	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks	41c	10,732$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400.1	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Ducks	42c	10,688$4,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,488.96	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Ducks	43c	10,268$4,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,406.99	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks	14c	9,970$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.11	603	37.5%226 W · 377 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks	42c	9,693$4,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,071	852	50.2%428 W · 424 L	-26.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers	58c	9,000$5,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,780	260	58.8%153 W · 107 L	+17.7wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Ducks	25c	7,691$1,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,946.6	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Ducks	42c	7,353$3,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,088.26	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+7.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Ducks	42c	7,143$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	60cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Ducks	43c	6,169$2,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,652.56	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Ducks	42c	6,000$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks	17c	5,827$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.16	332	34.3%114 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers	58c	5,777$3,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,433	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Oilers	71c	5,671$4,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,649.15	403	56.3%227 W · 176 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f0…6ca0backed Ducks	42c	5,187$2,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,178.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Oilers	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d7…6a0ebacked Oilers	59c	4,745$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,945.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Ducks	42c	4,045$1,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,694.58	334	50.9%170 W · 164 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers	59c	4,000$2,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,640	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640	602	49.5%298 W · 304 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ducks	32c	3,964$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.58	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Oilers	58c	3,796$2,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,586.36	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0191…8322backed Oilers	59c	3,766$2,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,544.06	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks	42c	3,500$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	278	50.4%140 W · 138 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…de35backed Ducks	42c	3,322$1,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,395.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Ducks	42c	3,258$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.27	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks	41c	3,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.99	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Ducks	2c	2,863$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.9	250	4.8%12 W · 238 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+159.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2df1…63d0backed Ducks	42c	2,818$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers	56c	2,710$1,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.2	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Ducks	27c	2,696$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.96	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Ducks	42c	2,653$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.02	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Oilers	58c	2,521$1,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.25	865	49.1%425 W · 440 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oilers	56c	2,437$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.84	1,190	50.7%603 W · 587 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5c…f0dbbacked Ducks	42c	2,371$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers	58c	2,333$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.86	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Oilers	58c	2,331$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.03	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Ducks	22c	2,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers	58c	2,241$1,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.59	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed Ducks	43c	2,197$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.72	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ducks	39c	2,174$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.22	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Oilers	58c	2,069$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.97	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Ducks	42c	2,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.92	267	50.2%134 W · 133 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Ducks	45c	1,996$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Ducks	42c	1,991$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.22	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+33%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks	41c	1,949$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.27	435	48.5%211 W · 224 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Ducks	11c	1,934$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.69	273	34.4%94 W · 179 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oilers	73c	1,921$1,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.75	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Oilers	57c	1,920$1,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Ducks	46c	1,900$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.88	571	57.8%330 W · 241 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Ducks	43c	1,894$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.74	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Oilers	78c	1,834$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.57	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	56cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x931e…e8e8backed Oilers	57c	1,800$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks	28c	1,717$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.4	950	49.1%466 W · 484 L	+12.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks	28c	1,705$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.5	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks	42c	1,700$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714	502	51.2%257 W · 245 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Oilers	59c	1,695$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.92	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+7.7wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Ducks	34c	1,457$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	215	34.4%74 W · 141 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Ducks	42c	1,440$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Oilers	56c	1,410$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.4	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Ducks	42c	1,381$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.16	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ducks	30c	1,331$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.58	164	47%77 W · 87 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ducks	14c	1,328$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.42	283	40.3%114 W · 169 L	-24.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Ducks	29c	1,257$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.26	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Ducks	41c	1,220$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.2	428	47.2%202 W · 226 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Oilers	58c	1,200$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.56	769	50.3%387 W · 382 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Ducks	42c	1,159$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.85	118	33.1%39 W · 79 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Ducks	42c	1,088$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks	42c	1,079$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.33	457	51.6%236 W · 221 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Ducks	24c	1,058$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.32	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Ducks	43c	1,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+16.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ducks vs. Oilers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event