NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6558567e896bb446520945587a9b7f306923d59ed49f758196a09305c898a695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 41c | 5,590$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.11 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 58c | 3,333$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.14 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 60c | 1,984$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 59c | 989$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.51 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 876.73$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.16 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 696.77$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.08 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 682.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 659.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 40c | 571.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.67 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Under | 59c | 262$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 252.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 40c | 249.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 49c | 227.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 40c | 219.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 39c | 208.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 73c | 199.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2b81backed Under | 58c | 195$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 59c | 188$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 57c | 172.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Under | 56c | 167.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Over | 60c | 167.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 51c | 156.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 151.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 124.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 38c | 118.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 48c | 116.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 75c | 108$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Over | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 33c | 99.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 36c | 93.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 91.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 41c | 91.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Under | 15c | 90.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 59c | 88.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…7219backed Over | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 50c | 79.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 73.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 51c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 57c | 67.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Under | 74c | 63.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked Over | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…0abdbacked Under | 44c | 57.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 54c | 55.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 63c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 60c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 48.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Over | 51c | 46.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 62c | 46.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 41c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 59c | 39.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 59c | 37.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Under | 41c | 37.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 39c | 32.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 56c | 30.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 49c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 58c | 25.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…0e11backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 56c | 23.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 23.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 85 | 71.8%61 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. OilersOilers won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.