NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeebb237cd2f83721ba56dd273ee37ba579e54bd38cf8755ac0ee2c4f518b9a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,015$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,008$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 79c | 1,200$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 1,055$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.31 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 5c | 1,048$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 67c | 891$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 10c | 771.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.35 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 575.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 49c | 567.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.37 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 552.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 446.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 30c | 430.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 389.38$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 369$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Under | 47c | 317.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 65c | 299.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 4c | 269$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 54c | 231.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Over | 49c | 206.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 47c | 190.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 47c | 158.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 26c | 156.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Over | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 69c | 133.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 47c | 129.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 46c | 122.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 48c | 116.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 50c | 116.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 54c | 114.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 71c | 105.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 70c | 102.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 55c | 85.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…ad96backed Over | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 56c | 66.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 48c | 63.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 57c | 52.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 50c | 48.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 47.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 43.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 42.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…7844backed Over | 54c | 42.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 72c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 35c | 38.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…8105backed Over | 51c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 61c | 34.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 53c | 31.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…acc7backed Under | 42c | 26.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 68c | 26.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…5b6cbacked Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5this page
- Ducks vs. OilersOilers won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.