TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b01…7844

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Yokkaichi: Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Mariana Higuitabacked Mariana Higuita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Selena Janicijevicbacked En-Shuo Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Alex Rybakovbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$35.71
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Gabriel Debru vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.47
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+281.3%+$63.66
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$15.39
Naples: Michele Ribecai vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.4
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+491.2%+$54.87
Alicante: Jan Choinski vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.64
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+99%+$13.13
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Remy Bertolabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.86
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+154%+$32.28
Yokkaichi: Paul Jubb vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$24.64
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.2
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$41.71
Bucaramanga: Peter Bertran vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+27%+$8.28
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.66
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.74
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+264.2%+$27.39
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$29.58
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$34.24
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$35.97
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-68.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.9
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$19.64
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$6.08
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$7.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.