TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Nets, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,501,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,626,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,501,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Nets7c101,601$7,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,096.084753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets6c100,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Nets8c80,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.9612045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nets12c61,947$7,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,267.891,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Nets6c50,002$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.1238434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets6c46,309$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.8647028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets6c34,997$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.851,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets8c32,092$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.441,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets6c31,124$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.071,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Nets14c28,740$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9051030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf2…3b95backed Nets8c27,555$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.6933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Nets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Nets6c22,344$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.371417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Nets7c22,294$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4874040%16 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Nets4c21,286$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.926637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nets20c21,222$4,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.8934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nets6c20,027$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.549018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nets1c18,779$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.815213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets6c17,987$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets8c15,436$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Nets15c14,409$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.559330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Nets6c13,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9817028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Nets20c11,591$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.0134136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Nets7c11,487$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.233179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Nets4c11,391$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Nets12c11,279$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.2913534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Nets7c10,251$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.0824247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Nets10c10,148$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Nets0c9,824$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Nets6c9,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Nets6c8,546$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.772128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Nets6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Nets4c7,974$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.671520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Nets6c7,863$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.165036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Nets16c7,608$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Nets7c7,180$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.69655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Nets6c6,974$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.4320454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Nets7c6,876$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets2c6,752$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.042,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets6c6,666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Nets6c6,436$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009726.8%26 W · 71 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Nets3c6,293$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.62425%6 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c5,870$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.518820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Nets14c5,719$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.4725226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Nets11c5,508$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.3553539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Nets6c5,488$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.287142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…667dbacked Nets9c5,482$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.597841%32 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4c…6cb0backed Nets10c5,474$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets7c5,451$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.313,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nets10c5,288$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.1141038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Nets14c5,288$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.5514663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39ae…e85dbacked Nets3c5,229$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Nets18c5,219$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.5430157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Nets5c5,173$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.842015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Nets4c5,135$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010630.2%32 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Nets3c5,075$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.213737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Nets8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.984839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Nets9c4,909$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.2622423.7%53 W · 171 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets7c4,894$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.221,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f25…434ebacked Nets2c4,311$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Nets6c4,110$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.631850%9 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Nets14c4,053$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.0218440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets8c3,842$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.482,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e7…8cbebacked Nets5c3,557$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.354632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Nets11c3,551$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Nets8c3,508$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.81717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Nets3c3,506$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets5c3,363$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.11,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Nets6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.955234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Nets16c3,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007864.1%50 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Nets16c3,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets14c3,158$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.445,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Nets6c3,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nets15c2,949$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5730840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Nets15c2,937$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Nets20c2,745$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets6c2,694$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets7c2,553$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141b…73bbbacked Nets3c2,491$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.661030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets7c2,462$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.041,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets8c2,400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0165939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…9afabacked Nets16c2,373$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.847313.7%10 W · 63 L-11.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x74b6…84dabacked Nets19c2,100$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…1f08backed Nets3c2,072$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed Nets15c2,007$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Nets10c2,000$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Nets8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Nets7c1,958$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc141…ef2fbacked Nets4c1,952$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Nets10c1,951$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nets20c1,933$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.342,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Nets8c1,867$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3133632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Nets6c1,800$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10854838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Nets6c1,800$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf266…b2c4backed Nets6c1,740$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.631618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Nets6c1,714$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.439220.7%19 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Nets11c1,674$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.395922%13 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Nets6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c9…d019backed Nets6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.