NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfe1b752e26542b348f7c6c5eb830e5046eccaaf12c096898904e83ef9fa76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 940.61$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 870.83$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 41c | 394$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.87 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 59c | 384.86$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 42c | 242.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 55c | 90.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 57c | 79.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 62.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 39c | 49.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 46.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 62c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…8639backed Over | 61c | 41.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 39.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under | 42c | 25.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 59c | 17.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Nets won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nets vs. LakersLakers won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-17.5)Nets won
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.