TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Under40c2,499$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.073,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c2,013$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over61c1,630$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over62c1,290$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over77c1,068$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over28c975.92$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under38c825.59$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.874,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under48c611.43$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.816639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c590.44$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.622,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under60c580.39$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.471,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c553.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under38c524.55$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3320741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522d…3913backed Over77c520.39$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under38c425.87$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over17c425$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1367921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over77c415.23$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0932952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over61c408.98$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4724955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over37c375.46$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.751,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under21c348.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over70c305$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.52528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under39c293.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over53c290$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7831345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Over71c281.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under37c271$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under40c254$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under39c254$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9416845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over53c239.78$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9917946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c229.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.083,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over59c227.83$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.825,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over53c201.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under33c200.31$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.765542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14212558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under38c187.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfac…b532backed Over67c157.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over65c154.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over58c152$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Over67c149.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over70c141.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.75966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under32c138.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.931,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over61c134.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0326043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…e3b4backed Over10c133$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c127.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over56c125.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Over63c121$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.235747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over62c121$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over74c114.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5811261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c113$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.142,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over62c112.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Under43c110.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under49c109.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over62c105.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4338464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5915650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6269337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over57c99.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under21c98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4233030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under33c96.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under26c93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c91.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.93,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under40c91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.621851.8%113 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54df…51fabacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014963.1%94 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Over58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011450.9%58 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under43c86$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.218440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Under45c77.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.436648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over58c77.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under41c74.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Over60c74.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.639938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over64c72.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1820762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under46c65.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under47c64.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under43c64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37cc…bbd7backed Over58c63.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…a60fbacked Under40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under36c51.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.953,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under39c50.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.532654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Under22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3910347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.536153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under41c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4920547.8%98 W · 107 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over58c48.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.12,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…5886backed Over63c47.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under59c44.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5336154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over61c38.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4210748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Under42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.715759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.336749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209153.8%49 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a9…c476backed Over58c34.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Under39c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1314154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Over58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.448255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9714157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.