NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fb7b73dcb4d5b283001e63d2bd68907ae5c257f56b4df185d7f48f534feb63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 2,499$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.07 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 2,013$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 61c | 1,630$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 77c | 1,068$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.8 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 28c | 975.92$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.73 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 825.59$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Under | 48c | 611.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.81 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 590.44$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 580.39$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.47 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 553.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 38c | 524.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Over | 77c | 520.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 38c | 425.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.35 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 17c | 425$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 77c | 415.23$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 61c | 408.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 37c | 375.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 21c | 348.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…66e4backed Over | 70c | 305$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 39c | 293.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 53c | 290$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Over | 71c | 281.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 37c | 271$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 40c | 254$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 39c | 254$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 53c | 239.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 229.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 227.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 53c | 201.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 33c | 200.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 38c | 187.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…b532backed Over | 67c | 157.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 65c | 154.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 58c | 152$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Over | 67c | 149.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Over | 70c | 141.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 32c | 138.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 61c | 134.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Over | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 127.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 56c | 125.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Over | 63c | 121$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 62c | 121$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 74c | 114.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 113$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Under | 43c | 110.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 49c | 109.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 62c | 105.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 57c | 99.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 21c | 98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 33c | 96.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 26c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 91.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 40c | 91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…51fabacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Over | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 43c | 86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 45c | 77.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 58c | 77.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 41c | 74.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 60c | 74.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 64c | 72.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 46c | 65.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 47c | 64.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 43c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…bbd7backed Over | 58c | 63.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a60fbacked Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 36c | 51.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 39c | 50.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 58c | 48.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…5886backed Over | 63c | 47.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 59c | 44.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 61c | 38.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…c476backed Over | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 39c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Nets won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nets vs. LakersLakers won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-17.5)Nets won
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.