NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1b5659b47292415db1cf0acfbcf72d290929832072670771ca2c98ff82824c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Lakers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Nets | 49c | 69,448$34,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,188.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 50c | 21,639$10,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,761.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 50c | 13,760$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,880 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lakers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…acc7backed Nets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…b5e2backed Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 47c | 9,517$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nets | 50c | 7,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 49c | 5,899$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.68 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Lakers | 50c | 5,898$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.12 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Lakers | 61c | 5,552$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.95 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nets | 50c | 5,058$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.12 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets | 50c | 5,007$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.45 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Lakers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Lakers | 49c | 4,715$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.37 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nets | 51c | 3,980$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.2 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Lakers | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 49c | 3,224$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 50c | 3,001$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nets | 50c | 1,671$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.54 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Nets | 51c | 1,669$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.05 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nets | 50c | 1,537$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 49c | 1,432$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Nets | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nets | 49c | 962.46$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.85 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lakers | 49c | 903.06$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 48c | 786.28$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Lakers | 49c | 707.92$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.88 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lakers | 9c | 644.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 48c | 603.71$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Nets | 52c | 596$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers | 50c | 572.6$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.86 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Lakers | 62c | 548.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Lakers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Lakers | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Nets | 52c | 392.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nets | 50c | 336.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Lakers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Lakers | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Lakers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Nets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Nets | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Nets | 56c | 185.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Nets | 52c | 179.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Lakers | 56c | 177.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lakers | 33c | 171.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 50c | 158.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Lakers | 49c | 147.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Lakers | 49c | 133.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Lakers | 51c | 132.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Lakers | 49c | 130.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 50c | 115.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Lakers | 49c | 107.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…a528backed Nets | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lakers | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Nets | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lakers | 31c | 71.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Lakers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Nets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nets | 51c | 59.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nets | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Nets | 51c | 47.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Nets | 41c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Lakers | 49c | 45.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Lakers | 47c | 42.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Nets | 61c | 40.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Lakers | 54c | 40.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Nets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Lakers | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…6499backed Lakers | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Nets | 40c | 34.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nets | 44c | 33.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Nets | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f82fbacked Nets | 55c | 31.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nets | 44c | 31.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Lakers | 52c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nets | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Nets | 50c | 29.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Nets | 52c | 28.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Nets | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Lakers | 50c | 24.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nets | 50c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Lakers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Nets won
- Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Nets vs. LakersLakers won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-15.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-16.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-17.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.