TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over54c23,754$12,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,819.6248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under48c20,750$9,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,79024053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under46c20,210$9,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,913.3429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Over55c9,129$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under46c5,173$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.3328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c4,300$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2361,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c4,023$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09232051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c3,173$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c2,991$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6355,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Under48c2,667$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.672948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c2,512$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.81,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c1,382$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under74c1,325$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.517436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over54c1,320$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7134332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over55c1,261$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9918650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over62c880.51$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c852.38$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c819.18$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2416050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c599.88$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c481.6$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c417.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over54c370.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8119045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c341.19$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.422,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c334.15$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over27c318.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4820741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over53c308.26$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3816347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under46c300$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Over54c283.83$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.274639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c245.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.974,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c229.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6593…c7a8backed Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686d…9eb4backed Under68c200.82$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.11844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under49c197.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.965855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c194.35$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Over53c190.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.015736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4638…aa0ebacked Under53c189.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x584c…d09ebacked Over53c187.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.621347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under56c179.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3919756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c152.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c149.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.733,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c132$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under48c115.81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over54c114.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9921748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over25c109.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9117946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1713038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…8c3bbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5133949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over53c94.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over55c90.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over64c87.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2195…d708backed Under60c83.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.822962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under49c75.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1326450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Under37c75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over51c72.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2238853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c71.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c69.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Under48c58.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.633729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over65c46.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.441449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over53c43.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1722454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…8106backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c40.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…9aa2backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45046%23 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under48c39.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under48c33.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Over54c30.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.512251.6%63 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.545542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under40c27.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d95…373fbacked Under48c27.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over53c27.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5114860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd13…62fbbacked Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.755935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Over53c23.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over54c23.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6512349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c22.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over51c22.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2422456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Under52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.568164.2%52 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.