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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Under46c10,000$4,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,424.9166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c3,467$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.071,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over56c2,546$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42612240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c2,333$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,117$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c2,050$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Over55c2,005$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.753831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf14d…af8dbacked Over52c1,991$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Under49c1,711$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.725745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under35c1,666$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over51c1,512$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.025853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c1,463$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.662,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab31…b79ebacked Over51c1,288$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over54c1,279$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.51,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa511…38d4backed Over51c1,258$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2282…0983backed Over51c1,222$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e12…cc78backed Over51c1,218$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over54c1,175$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x918d…1462backed Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c942.29$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.952,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over55c786.32$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under25c666.79$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.7652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c654.32$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over73c652.31$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5111753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c575.62$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.712,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Under45c558$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.93745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over49c459.97$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.399346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over53c424.92$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3310239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under58c401.46$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over70c399.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9916159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under51c393.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8520846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under38c386.71$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8520741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over54c382.76$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.116642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c372.29$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.823,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over51c349.98$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4921653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under48c339.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under66c330.5$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.967247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Under53c313.58$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.583148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15919435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c291.88$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under45c262$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.116845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over48c245.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1818850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Over46c244.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Under66c242.67$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6710245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0283…d526backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-64.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over49c197.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.425550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2cf…c231backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c190.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c188.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over71c184$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.641,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under45c182$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.113148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over55c180.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over79c164.09$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.369546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c160.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.221,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under26c158.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under45c155$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2522351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under23c142.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under24c135.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.943158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c121.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under51c118$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1918440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under23c115.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8313541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c96.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under25c94.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c85.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.132,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Over52c85.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.639938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over55c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.351,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under46c71.27$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under25c70.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.841,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under41c66.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.463,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Under52c63.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.295650%28 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c36…d272backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.226959.4%41 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over51c59.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under55c58.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under45c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.920249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under51c57.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Over56c54.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.513056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under47c53.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6318242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd3…afd8backed Under49c53.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.062857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over47c52.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7218052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under48c52.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9417946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over55c51.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under44c51.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under51c50.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4910850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.