TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54a2…1d43backed Nets8c3,749$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Nets44c3,391$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers42c3,362$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Lakers55c2,923$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.9719957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Nets61c1,629$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Lakers42c1,432$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.094067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers45c1,246$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers43c1,148$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.9549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Lakers21c1,092$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.4710239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets45c1,015$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Nets55c909.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4920651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nets49c816.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers54c660.43$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers51c623.36$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.451,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Lakers54c622.24$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2317050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets49c613.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Lakers58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Nets6c500$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers55c419.2$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Lakers73c411.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0343269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Lakers53c379.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0357444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Lakers61c328.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9824856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Nets46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1387441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lakers56c268.43$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.745,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets39c268.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Lakers21c242$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.277154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Nets53c239.27$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.122240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Nets46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.27536%27 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Nets42c218.43$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.743243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…b3c4backed Nets57c175.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Nets51c167.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Nets60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nets25c162$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Lakers60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3323546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Lakers39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lakers39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2145445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets48c125.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.393,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nets35c122.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Nets45c119$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5515650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers22c118.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3936842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Lakers54c105.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Lakers58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4510249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers56c100.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.442,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Nets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers51c98.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers58c96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lakers46c94.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.741,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Nets48c94.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5513038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Nets77c93.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1920741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets44c91.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.441,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Nets44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Nets64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Lakers59c88.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7650948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Lakers39c86.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1527463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lakers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Nets50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be4…5f1abacked Lakers61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nets68c63.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Nets45c61.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Nets57c61.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.154526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Nets51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0423649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Nets51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0423441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Nets45c56.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets60c56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.681,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Lakers54c55.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.748657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Lakers54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.566150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Nets66c51.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1513541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dcf…87b8backed Lakers39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Nets49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511542.6%49 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Lakers54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2359650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Lakers58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Nets64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Nets58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Lakers60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021657.9%125 W · 91 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a3…9551backed Lakers40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Nets64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Nets44c47.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers57c45.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Nets46c45.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.961,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Lakers53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9331947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets30c44.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nets45c44.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.062,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae0…3cd7backed Nets58c42.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Lakers72c41.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.641376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Lakers58c40.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Nets56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Nets45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Nets64c37.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.858134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Lakers57c34.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Lakers58c33.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.223056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Lakers52c30.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.523256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Nets40c30.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.939347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Lakers52c29.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Nets46c29.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6321653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Nets45c28.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.929031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Lakers53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.313554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Lakers54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.784161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.