NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58bdd4eaad3287cbe9432851e6551aab3b96f057d9e2e7569ac549f49af5e296

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3ecd…8ee4backed Over	53c	1,296$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.88	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…abfcbacked Over	53c	1,262$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…9606backed Over	53c	1,230$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	72c	758.92$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.78	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	26c	366.49$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.2	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	43c	360.14$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.38	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under	43c	359.02$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.17	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under	26c	336.7$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.16	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	34c	222.96$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over	55c	215$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.25	258	46.9%121 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	57c	198.81$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.32	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	57c	125.77$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over	56c	104.13$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.86	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	58c	84.31$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over	51c	84.17$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.93	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	54.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.06	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over	54c	54.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over	52c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under	49c	37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	327	52.9%173 W · 154 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x436b…4f72backed Under	44c	34.48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.31	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	48c	28.41$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.81	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under	44c	25.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.99	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	46c	22.17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.97	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29b…6012backed Over	60c	19.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Over	62c	19.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	532	50.4%268 W · 264 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	52c	19.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event