TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Lakers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05c4…a4f2backed Nets55c17,759$9,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,029.5712045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Lakers49c17,004$8,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,257.979655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers50c13,423$6,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,686.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets50c12,496$6,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,222.9666250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets51c12,000$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Lakers52c5,703$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.0620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets48c5,697$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.34,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets52c4,206$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers50c3,472$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Lakers47c3,333$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.7719957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers47c3,158$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets52c1,990$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.265,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers47c1,634$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.531,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets52c1,366$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers45c1,310$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.391,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers46c1,204$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Lakers46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets50c1,084$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Lakers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers45c969.6$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.481,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Nets48c963.95$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.8979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets52c850.94$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.644,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Lakers45c825$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.251,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Nets53c808$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.7645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Lakers45c662.98$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets51c661.05$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.583,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Lakers47c660.26$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3350948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Lakers46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Lakers50c641.33$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.810748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Lakers46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2763745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Nets49c539.6$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nets46c526.1$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.0972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Lakers45c511.15$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0213148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Nets46c499.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9852844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Lakers47c471.23$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4817050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Lakers50c464.5$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Nets50c420.51$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Lakers45c412.51$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6330157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Lakers49c386.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.420352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Nets48c356.25$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.259958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nets48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Lakers30c308.87$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.520741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Lakers54c301.85$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Lakers46c300.2$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.093228.1%9 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Nets50c273.81$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Lakers46c268$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2816845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers48c260.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.723,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Lakers49c247.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.381,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Lakers46c244$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Lakers46c244$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2413352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Lakers46c244$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2411453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…1422backed Nets69c240$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.82867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Nets51c237.55$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0527645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Lakers45c233.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Lakers52c222.39$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.641,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Lakers45c222.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9741449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Lakers45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.919348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lakers45c221.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Lakers45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers50c216.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Lakers47c209$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2314145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers51c207$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.572,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Lakers49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9651451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe940…624dbacked Nets47c202.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.131181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Lakers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Nets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Lakers46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets53c198$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.062,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Lakers53c197$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Lakers46c196$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1613148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Nets54c193.11$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6313038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Lakers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Nets54c187.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0434854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers53c183.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.336842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Nets56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5717944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers49c170.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.652,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Lakers51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Lakers46c154.35$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Lakers46c148$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0818744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Lakers15c146.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Lakers53c141.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7610050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Lakers45c129.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.446734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Lakers46c129.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1813541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Lakers45c128.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.783855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Lakers45c128.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.783729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Lakers46c124$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.046445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…67a8backed Lakers45c115.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Nets52c115$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.214844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Nets48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1710850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers49c103$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.963,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Nets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Lakers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4616249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Lakers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Lakers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Lakers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Nets55c96.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3672250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Lakers45c96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.216245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Lakers53c94.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9615144.4%67 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets56c91.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.