NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62f4efa9b7281b23c1edee6e9e151f53081acac787bc8e39f38f78e096c3540f

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5f6…a659backed Under	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	30c	2,373$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,662.62	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	1,800$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	51c	1,475$752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.76	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under	50c	1,468$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.05	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under	39c	1,267$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.75	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over	65c	1,141$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.61	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	49c	1,139$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over	49c	1,021$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.28	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over	50c	878$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.05	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over	23c	826.37$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.34	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	32c	679.02$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.55	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	39c	669.61$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.26	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over	75c	665.39$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.31	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	43c	569.04$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.35	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	35c	560.94$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.61	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over	60c	559.36$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.39	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	75c	536.9$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over	51c	438.02$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.4	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	44c	416.58$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Under	55c	400$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	125	36%45 W · 80 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over	62c	322.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-47%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under	60c	284.37$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.95	183	45.9%84 W · 99 L	-16.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	38c	259.25$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.93	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9283…97edbacked Over	62c	247$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.07	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Under	73c	238$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.99	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Under	33c	234.17$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.17	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over	73c	232.18$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.54	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Over	55c	205$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over	21c	203$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.58	330	30.9%102 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398c…33fabacked Under	68c	181.99$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over	65c	170$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.5	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	44c	161.77$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.92	620	47.3%293 W · 327 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Under	63c	159.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.83	86	54.7%47 W · 39 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over	56c	149.06$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.05	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	-11.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over	74c	135.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…5cd5backed Over	59c	134$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.64	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over	19c	133$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Over	19c	133$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+18%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	48c	131.98$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.35	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over	61c	125$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.1	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over	53c	112.59$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.2	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over	21c	110$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58b2…5f92backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…1480backed Over	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	48c	99.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.62	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674a…ad6cbacked Over	69c	86.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	31c	81.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	49c	80.54$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.47	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	42c	79.6$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.77	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Over	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	76c	72.74$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.55	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over	49c	71.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over	19c	69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	61c	68.69$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.22	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over	50c	64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over	21c	59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over	26c	58.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	240	44.6%107 W · 133 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647c…a772backed Over	51c	58.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	53.3$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.47	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed Over	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	65c	48.76$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.93	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over	74c	40.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	191	66.5%127 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over	75c	40.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	78c	40.13$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.83	274	63.5%174 W · 100 L	+34.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	36c	35.54$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over	55c	34.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	118	45.8%54 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9099…9ca9backed Over	72c	33.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under	39c	30.23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.56	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Over	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over	55c	27.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	135	41.5%56 W · 79 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb222…0fe4backed Under	76c	26.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under	57c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.13	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5957…6437backed Over	51c	24.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	48c	22.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.83	182	42.9%78 W · 104 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	52c	21.55$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Under	55c	21.2$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.54	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd337…7564backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Over	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over	57c	19.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under	56c	18.39$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…e3b4backed Under	78c	17.27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.8	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event