TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6f0…7d99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT12349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.18
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$21.16
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.03
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.87
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.24
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.24
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.84
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.51
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Nets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+180.1%+$18.85
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+203%+$39.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+87%+$16.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+144.2%+$53.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Monacobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.