NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x856cb329716374095b8eb892b5055ed483f31ca57eea9e9b843fb7c23a62c826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 109,074$54,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,882.59 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 49c | 57,014$27,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,936.92 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 50c | 42,533$21,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,355.67 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 37,317$18,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,960.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 50c | 33,844$16,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,922 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 51c | 24,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 50c | 23,594$11,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,898.27 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…60c4backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…7794backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 17,660$8,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,413.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 51c | 16,886$8,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,618.92 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 15,742$7,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,853.16 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 14,477$7,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.71 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 12,776$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 50c | 12,002$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.98 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 11,963$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,981.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…3ff0backed Over | 49c | 11,490$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 11,438$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 50c | 10,814$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,407.17 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 9,262$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.38 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Over | 51c | 9,261$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 7,699$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 7,497$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.54 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 6,735$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 51c | 6,409$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.38 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 6,338$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Under | 50c | 6,333$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 50c | 5,760$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 5,445$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.88 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 5,022$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.57 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Over | 51c | 4,300$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Under | 53c | 3,993$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.92 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 3,530$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 3,221$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.41 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…5ae8backed Under | 47c | 3,111$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…6168backed Under | 47c | 2,745$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Under | 51c | 2,741$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.09 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 52c | 2,657$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.35 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 51c | 2,517$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.11 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 2,476$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…9147backed Over | 53c | 2,391$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335b…efd6backed Over | 53c | 2,195$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…9586backed Over | 53c | 2,081$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 52c | 2,075$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 50c | 2,072$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 51c | 2,064$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…3d75backed Over | 53c | 2,019$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…5d50backed Over | 53c | 2,006$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 50c | 1,944$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…11acbacked Under | 47c | 1,919$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,914$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 1,734$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 59c | 1,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…15d1backed Under | 47c | 1,602$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 55c | 1,600$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.15 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…500cbacked Under | 47c | 1,494$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ac…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 1,480$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 1,355$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.11 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 50c | 1,340$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.07 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd5…75a3backed Under | 47c | 1,301$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 19c | 1,297$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ba58backed Over | 53c | 1,294$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…8b78backed Over | 53c | 1,284$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…5312backed Over | 53c | 1,252$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 20c | 1,240$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 1,191$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.59 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 48c | 1,071$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.8 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 998$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 974.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.98 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 929$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.23 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Over | 50c | 884.88$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Under | 48c | 829.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.51 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 818.53$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 68c | 817.79$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.91 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 51c | 789.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.96 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Under | 51c | 784.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.67 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 49c | 726.78$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.68 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 686.59$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 49c | 677.55$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 5c | 594.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…2589backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…66e4backed Over | 50c | 570$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 566.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Under | 70c | 514.29$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 511$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Warriors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.