NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf79c1987a17757e09b1173926cfa19871defb3ac1622cdfe0f6982699c2944d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $383,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $385,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,012 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	53c	300,843$158,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142,691.16	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over	47c	48,715$22,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,896.05	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	48c	45,233$21,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,711.74	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	33,426$15,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,810.37	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over	48c	33,113$15,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,828.11	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over	47c	26,220$12,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,323.4	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	47c	23,560$11,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,073.2	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under	53c	15,534$8,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,250.51	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	48c	15,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	47c	14,727$6,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,904.13	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	47c	12,443$5,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,848.03	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under	50c	9,996$5,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,947.86	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	47c	8,466$4,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000.87	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	8,132$3,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,834.87	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	51c	7,068$3,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,495.69	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over	47c	6,251$2,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,937.97	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	0c	5,936$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over	49c	5,772$2,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,828.28	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	47c	5,495$2,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,582.76	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Over	48c	5,461$2,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.28	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	48c	5,175$2,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,484	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked Over	48c	4,780$2,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,294.58	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	51c	4,742$2,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,323.76	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	49c	3,892$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,908.2	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over	50c	3,754$1,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,877	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	48c	3,352$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.72	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	53c	2,940$1,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.42	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	48c	2,702$1,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.37	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	47c	2,660$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under	52c	2,485$1,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.8	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over	60c	2,187$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.21	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Over	46c	2,170$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.1	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	49c	1,917$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.43	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	53c	1,901$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.22	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	48c	1,775$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.55	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Over	48c	1,660$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.8	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over	50c	1,650$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over	47c	1,404$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.3	369	49.6%183 W · 186 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	48c	1,220$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.36	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over	28c	1,171$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.68	200	49%98 W · 102 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	49c	1,002$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.98	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over	51c	1,000$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over	48c	950.34$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.85	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	51c	681.94$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.49	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	52c	674$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.48	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	49c	627$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.17	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	48c	554.68$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.25	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under	53c	518.72$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.72	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Over	47c	508$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.76	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over	46c	494$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.24	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	50c	482.98$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.68	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over	49c	481.75$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.06	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under	51c	475.67$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.49	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	47c	471.44$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.92	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over	52c	418.07$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.4	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	47c	380$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.6	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under	53c	374.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.97	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Over	47c	365$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.59	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	362.81$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.27	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	48c	360.04$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.82	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	48c	359.31$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.47	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	47c	329.74$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.98	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	47c	308.6$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.46	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	47c	276.69$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.04	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	47c	273.18$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	47c	249.96$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.48	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over	47c	247.95$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.54	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	51c	233.2$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	50c	220$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x261c…4f10backed Over	51c	219.82$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9d…afe6backed Under	49c	219$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	45.3%58 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…06b3backed Under	49c	209$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Over	48c	207.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51c4…2f49backed Under	49c	207$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc303…4d84backed Under	49c	207$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fd…209abacked Over	51c	206.18$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over	49c	205$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308d…98dbbacked Over	51c	204.11$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9e…7288backed Over	51c	202.44$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282d…52abbacked Under	49c	202$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over	47c	201.85$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.87	196	50.5%99 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…60c5backed Over	51c	200.81$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Over	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	198	40.9%81 W · 117 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	249	49%122 W · 127 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd913…4b90backed Over	51c	199.56$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…1213backed Under	49c	195$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over	49c	191.1$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.64	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf4…c208backed Under	49c	189$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…7996backed Over	51c	188.89$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dae…39cbbacked Over	51c	188.8$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd453…8f93backed Over	51c	187.19$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad8…697cbacked Under	49c	186$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…4e8cbacked Over	51c	185.2$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
Warriors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event