TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,227 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7879…3653backed Yes57c1,250$712 inWon+$537.515952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No43c1,034$445 inLost-$444.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No42c315.54$133 inLost-$133.2926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Yes58c262.07$152 inWon+$110.075646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No43c169.77$73 inLost-$7344747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Yes58c144.44$83 inWon+$60.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No20c140.1$29 inLost-$28.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed No47c106.38$50 inLost-$501225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Yes57c69.88$40 inWon+$29.888644.2%38 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c67.67$29 inLost-$28.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No47c53.53$25 inLost-$24.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed Yes55c52.55$29 inWon+$23.554757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0278…5f1fbacked No43c49.99$21 inLost-$21.57240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked No52c48.08$25 inLost-$2513441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No42c37.07$16 inLost-$15.572,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No43c31.03$13 inLost-$13.4860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes60c30.73$18 inWon+$12.2928455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Yes60c30.73$18 inWon+$12.2912954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes56c30$17 inWon+$13.242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2238…e069backed Yes58c25.86$15 inWon+$10.867757.1%44 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed No68c23$16 inLost-$15.643458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Yes58c18.97$11 inWon+$7.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes60c18.76$11 inWon+$7.57655.3%42 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.