NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67bd37a7c51ac7f8f2ff845c6058fa305d5492ded68f2262b6f123cf9f5b9afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 47c | 16,450$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,673.56 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 44c | 9,277$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.04 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 8,674$4,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Under | 56c | 7,840$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Under | 54c | 7,400$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.95 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 5,787$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 53c | 3,620$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.2 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 3,090$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Under | 56c | 2,929$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.75 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…52b9backed Under | 51c | 2,925$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…5bebbacked Over | 49c | 2,885$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 2,874$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…a4a0backed Under | 51c | 2,758$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…eed9backed Under | 51c | 2,729$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…f8cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,722$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Under | 79c | 2,404$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.06 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…7873backed Over | 49c | 2,393$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…6e1ebacked Over | 49c | 2,246$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…e16cbacked Under | 51c | 2,235$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…fa04backed Over | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…d982backed Over | 49c | 1,928$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…5d63backed Under | 51c | 1,901$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…d089backed Under | 51c | 1,848$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,791$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Under | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…bd2ebacked Over | 49c | 1,298$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…6cffbacked Over | 49c | 1,292$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2a…b539backed Over | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e4…2905backed Over | 49c | 1,272$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…73d1backed Over | 49c | 1,262$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…fbcbbacked Over | 49c | 1,258$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b27…c872backed Over | 49c | 1,256$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 1,148$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.37 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Under | 50c | 905$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 17c | 725.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 26c | 713.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 54c | 663.75$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.69 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 630.08$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 477.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 23c | 422.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 373.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over | 56c | 357.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Under | 55c | 349.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 339$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 338.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 311.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 299.12$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 282.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 279.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 53c | 274.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 10c | 247.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 245.89$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 47c | 242.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 47c | 210.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Over | 45c | 195$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 57c | 194.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Under | 54c | 184.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…75dfbacked Over | 46c | 163.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Over | 44c | 154.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Over | 46c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 44c | 130.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 45c | 127.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 52c | 115.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 29c | 113.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Over | 48c | 102.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 49c | 101.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 25c | 93.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 38c | 87.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 79.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 58c | 77.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 74.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 49c | 72.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 71.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…fe8bbacked Under | 57c | 70.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Under | 55c | 69.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Warriors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.