NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ffdabe06486f27f5f2cfd47630bf26ff64fd31ac317ef1a83275bbd3bfff73

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $226,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $222,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,740 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over	52c	64,265$33,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,417.93	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	55c	63,829$35,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,000	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	45c	40,490$18,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,269.49	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	50c	30,000$15,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,128.88	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	48c	20,833$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,833.33	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under	50c	19,034$9,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,517	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under	46c	15,600$7,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,402	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over	54c	12,500$6,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,749.98	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Under	45c	11,701$5,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,435.79	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under	48c	8,133$3,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,229.33	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under	48c	7,340$3,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,816.58	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under	48c	7,097$3,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,688.22	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	46c	7,000$3,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,764.78	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under	48c	6,845$3,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,559.28	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under	46c	5,514$2,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,954.89	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Over	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cac…e941backed Under	48c	4,375$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,275	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,166.67	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	48c	4,000$1,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,093.57	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	50c	3,931$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.24	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	2c	3,516$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.37	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c1…8a0abacked Under	48c	2,954$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,535.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	48c	2,917$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,516.67	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	48c	2,915$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.58	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under	46c	2,761$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.98	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf96…5156backed Under	50c	2,680$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	2,331$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.09	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	2,286$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,183.31	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	54c	2,207$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.06	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	47c	2,192$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161.92	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	2,100$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under	50c	2,024$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.82	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over	15c	1,941$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.1	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over	52c	1,908$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	53c	1,600$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under	47c	1,581$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.12	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	1,479$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.65	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under	46c	1,337$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.98	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	53c	1,277$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under	48c	1,250$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6900…b6c2backed Over	53c	1,229$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.14	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	48c	1,145$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.45	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under	48c	1,099$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.63	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Over	22c	943.58$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.59	173	31.8%55 W · 118 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over	10c	940$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Over	52c	899.99$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	48c	856.25$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.25	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	48c	829$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.08	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over	54c	774.16$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over	13c	652.97$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.95	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	78c	641.31$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.31	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	52c	630.3$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.76	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	624.52$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.92	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	53c	541.63$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.06	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over	48c	477$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.96	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over	15c	461.58$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.24	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over	43c	453.03$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.95	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	48c	449$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.48	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	52c	413$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.23	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…5066backed Over	52c	402.44$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.07	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over	53c	401.89$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under	46c	399.66$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.82	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	39c	385.2$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over	51c	379$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.29	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b01…75dfbacked Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Under	48c	358.92$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.64	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked Under	66c	320.97$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.97	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over	41c	317.14$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.91	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under	49c	305.96$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.04	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	45c	248.19$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.5	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	48c	244.81$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.13	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	78c	230.07$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.86	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	16c	227.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Under	60c	220.32$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.13	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over	52c	220$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.4	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	22c	219.08$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	52c	204.69$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.18	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	125	36%45 W · 80 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab8…f3babacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over	55c	147.27$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over	15c	124.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over	15c	124.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	45c	124.59$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.52	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under	49c	119.38$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.69	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	+9.5wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+30%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under	65c	116.74$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.86	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	52c	116$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.32	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Over	54c	105.71$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over	53c	103.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over	52c	101.92$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1d…5c72backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	171	42.7%73 W · 98 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
Warriors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event