NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5136399d0c2effcb1dac8b79b2b751f322a424fbb8879f050b6f4fa604ce1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,388,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,421,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,388,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 51c | 473,714$240,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,676.39 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 306,125$150,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,123.75 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 49c | 249,613$122,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,479 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Nuggets | 51c | 248,030$125,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,464.43 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Warriors | 49c | 150,121$73,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,556.66 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Nuggets | 52c | 142,687$74,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,489.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 49c | 85,464$42,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,242.54 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…d96dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 82,202$41,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,100.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 48c | 73,573$35,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,382.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Nuggets | 50c | 71,135$35,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,698.76 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 50c | 65,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,500 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 60,639$29,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,698.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 39,509$19,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,754.55 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Nuggets | 51c | 24,405$12,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,911.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 47c | 17,808$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375.69 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 55c | 13,693$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192.72 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Nuggets | 50c | 13,100$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Nuggets | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets | 38c | 12,205$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,566.87 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,656$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Nuggets | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 54c | 8,943$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…04febacked Warriors | 47c | 8,082$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 52c | 6,577$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.92 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Warriors | 49c | 5,727$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.23 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Warriors | 49c | 5,674$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.14 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 5,151$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Warriors | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nuggets | 50c | 5,027$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.98 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,002$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,440$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,127$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Warriors | 48c | 3,994$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.12 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,801$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.31 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,534$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,950$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 50c | 2,771$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Warriors | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,522$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.88 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Warriors | 49c | 2,399$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.68 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 57c | 2,195$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.69 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 2,109$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.07 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Warriors | 63c | 2,084$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.19 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,000$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.36 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,961$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.66 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 47c | 1,936$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.73 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,918$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.36 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,905$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.37 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,796$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.94 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,557$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.6 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…97f0backed Warriors | 49c | 1,456$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,400$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Warriors | 54c | 1,352$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.33 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Warriors | 47c | 1,300$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Warriors | 63c | 1,258$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…fe5fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,222$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 62c | 1,192$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.55 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Warriors | 5c | 1,181$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Warriors | 49c | 1,160$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,001$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.34 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Warriors | 77c | 999.93$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Nuggets | 52c | 968$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.64 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 940.52$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.26 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 45c | 937.72$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.36 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Nuggets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Nuggets | 50c | 879.2$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.6 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Warriors | 56c | 862.98$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.32 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 62c | 831.62$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.6 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Warriors | 48c | 799.92$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.96 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 47c | 785.01$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 47c | 690.8$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 46c | 682.32$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Warriors | 46c | 615.49$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Nuggets | 50c | 596.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.08 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Nuggets | 52c | 580.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.71 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Warriors | 52c | 577.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 576.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.95 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Nuggets | 51c | 574.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Warriors | 48c | 567.83$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Nuggets | 51c | 544$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Warriors | 62c | 543.74$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Warriors | 62c | 543.63$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Warriors | 57c | 501.69$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Warriors | 48c | 501.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Warriors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.