NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dece19408850ca00eb0d72ea4b2de604316fc0a6cd4a1a63cb00a5554ead159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 55c | 99,508$54,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,699.46 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets | 46c | 86,096$39,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,411.89 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 61,152$27,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,633.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 54c | 59,144$31,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,788.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 54c | 46,396$24,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,988.94 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.96 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Warriors | 54c | 17,599$9,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,429.45 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Nuggets | 45c | 13,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 10,417$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.84 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,062$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.5 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…04febacked Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors | 53c | 9,904$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Warriors | 50c | 9,660$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,261$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.82 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets | 48c | 8,276$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.52 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 7,425$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.42 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 51c | 6,713$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 46c | 6,126$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Nuggets | 46c | 5,929$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.72 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 5,621$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,628$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.25 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 53c | 4,468$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.43 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Warriors | 54c | 4,466$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,285$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.3 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Warriors | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,935$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,871$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.09 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 52c | 3,793$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,574$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,491$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.68 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Warriors | 59c | 2,904$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…e484backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,796$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…9340backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,764$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Warriors | 46c | 2,715$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,704$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.27 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cc…f9bbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,513$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…a33dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,512$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,442$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.61 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,242$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x867e…9177backed Warriors | 51c | 2,209$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,170$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.38 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…1c2cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,140$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fd…a779backed Warriors | 51c | 2,130$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…4476backed Warriors | 51c | 2,006$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.09 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,993$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.78 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…dcd4backed Warriors | 51c | 1,991$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ba…6870backed Warriors | 51c | 1,912$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 51c | 1,874$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.54 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,760$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.2 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuggets | 16c | 1,696$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.5 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 15c | 1,481$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.01 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,440$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,438$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.57 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…dcfbbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,425$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,394$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,386$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.64 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,302$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.39 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,261$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.07 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 48c | 1,243$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.12 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,092$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…09a4backed Warriors | 51c | 1,069$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nuggets | 15c | 1,055$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.65 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 48c | 924$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.91 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 914$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Warriors | 51c | 906.12$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Warriors | 54c | 903.13$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.69 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Nuggets | 46c | 898.19$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.68 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Nuggets | 47c | 860.31$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.59 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Nuggets | 47c | 833.58$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.33 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nuggets | 46c | 801$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.54 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 770.91$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.53 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Nuggets | 47c | 750.77$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.28 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 739.13$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.13 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Warriors | 51c | 734.39$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.54 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Nuggets | 71c | 704.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 703.81$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…6221backed Warriors | 51c | 703$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Nuggets | 46c | 702.34$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.59 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nuggets | 33c | 691.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.15 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Warriors | 65c | 674.88$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.22 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…4624backed Nuggets | 47c | 662.51$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Warriors | 50c | 658$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nuggets | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…ef84backed Nuggets | 48c | 650$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Warriors | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Nuggets | 48c | 616.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 600.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Warriors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.