TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55e4…c3c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.7
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,223.99
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,060
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,200
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$2,889.32
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.12
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,000
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,769.99
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,300
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$576
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,942
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,752
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Spread: Suns (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,119.99
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,038.98
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$3,005.06
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$592.64
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$2,344.46
Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.84
Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.3
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,239.99
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,310.98
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,463.78
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,569Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$950.66
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$980.71
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$738.99
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,325
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$542.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$637.2
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.86
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$475.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$1,040.19
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.37
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.46
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,809Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$2,507.66
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,880.81
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122%+$1,373.79
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$565.55
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$590
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,826Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$3,196.55
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,115.93
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$991.25
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$734.62
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,400
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$2,257.38
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,740
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,800
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.