CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd5002c9e71550994a6c3b6cb861b9c3bfabd7c93de1db61e67e08bf012de64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof METANOIA WOLVES, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,344 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 4,368$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed METANOIA WOLVES | 56c | 3,740$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.71 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 75c | 2,900$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 52c | 1,811$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.92 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 1,777$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 57c | 1,239$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 58c | 771.67$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…abcdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 665.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 428.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.03 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 421.51$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 352.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 306.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 299.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 13c | 265.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…1af4backed METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 261.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 245.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.93 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 14c | 237.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 222.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed METANOIA WOLVES | 54c | 219.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 205.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 203.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 192.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 192$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 192$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 189.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 27c | 178.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 165.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 164.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 137$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 133.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed METANOIA WOLVES | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 125.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 125.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 124.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…d9b7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 105.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 103$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 100.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 96.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 16c | 85.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 85.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 82.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 76.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 75.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 70.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed METANOIA WOLVES | 79c | 60.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 39c | 59.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…b651backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 51.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 49.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…18e3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 70c | 43.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 40.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 19.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…d0bdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 18.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.