TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79e0…b651

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$4.87
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+60%+$10.09
Counter-Strike: TNT vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Counter-Strike: OG vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffsbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$11.98
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs m1x (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$13.14
Counter-Strike: B8 vs AM Gaming (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+41%+$5.66
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Off Site (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$13.89
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.13
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$6.58
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+34%+$6.2
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$14.66
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$20.86
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$27.38
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$15.83
All 4 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.