CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNT vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc871c50b46eadecc5af0fca262f2c745860c30848a9df48c9f3092fffdf679fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNTof TNT, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x668d…e471backed Ursa | 46c | 2,509$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.58 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Ursa | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNT | 57c | 1,880$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.58 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Ursa | 2c | 1,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed TNT | 34c | 1,424$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.85 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Ursa | 50c | 1,200$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.24 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TNT | 67c | 1,062$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.86 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ursa | 38c | 1,057$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.01 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Ursa | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 29c | 833.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Ursa | 44c | 594.79$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNT | 34c | 546.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Ursa | 44c | 539.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Ursa | 6c | 443.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…0a0ebacked TNT | 65c | 436.18$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Ursa | 42c | 415.31$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked TNT | 54c | 405.16$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.37 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 41c | 400.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed TNT | 78c | 380.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Ursa | 15c | 357.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 14c | 332.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed TNT | 76c | 307.28$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Ursa | 33c | 293.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ursa | 14c | 285.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Ursa | 19c | 281.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Ursa | 36c | 280.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed Ursa | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked TNT | 47c | 211.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Ursa | 36c | 207.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…7042backed TNT | 76c | 200.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Ursa | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 49c | 191.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa | 33c | 190.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Ursa | 36c | 186.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Ursa | 11c | 185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed TNT | 51c | 176.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ursa | 66c | 174.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Ursa | 23c | 174$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed TNT | 61c | 171.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Ursa | 7c | 167$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ursa | 16c | 154.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ursa | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ursa | 66c | 133.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ursa | 33c | 122.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 12c | 122.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked TNT | 47c | 116.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Ursa | 35c | 101.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed Ursa | 19c | 100.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Ursa | 11c | 93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed TNT | 65c | 90.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed TNT | 50c | 88.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed TNT | 70c | 87.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Ursa | 12c | 81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Ursa | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ursa | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ursa | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Ursa | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ursa | 32c | 79.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Ursa | 48c | 77.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Ursa | 66c | 75.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Ursa | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 43c | 65.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked TNT | 56c | 64.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Ursa | 24c | 62.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…b651backed Ursa | 17c | 61.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TNT | 69c | 58.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed TNT | 35c | 57.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNT | 66c | 52.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TNT | 60c | 51.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Ursa | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked TNT | 33c | 49.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ursa | 21c | 47.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Ursa | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Ursa | 51c | 42.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed TNT | 58c | 38.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…7191backed TNT | 75c | 30.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed TNT | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ursa | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Ursa | 70c | 20.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked TNT | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed Ursa | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed TNT | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Ursa | 67c | 16.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNT vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TNT vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerTNT won
- Counter-Strike: TNT vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.