CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9384495a14a711634579a32eae73c160148d9ae536d60b1102a066080247314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof LAG Gaming, Wanted Goons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LAG Gaming | 59c | 1,120$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LAG Gaming | 67c | 1,058$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wanted Goons | 42c | 824.8$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.98 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed LAG Gaming | 73c | 697.58$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…b4c2backed Wanted Goons | 67c | 348.26$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wanted Goons | 35c | 346.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Wanted Goons | 48c | 329.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Wanted Goons | 42c | 308.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked LAG Gaming | 44c | 304.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked LAG Gaming | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked LAG Gaming | 34c | 299.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…1c5dbacked Wanted Goons | 67c | 295.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Wanted Goons | 33c | 269$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wanted Goons | 31c | 237.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked LAG Gaming | 63c | 229.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…19cdbacked Wanted Goons | 36c | 220.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wanted Goons | 25c | 212.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Wanted Goons | 63c | 206.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked LAG Gaming | 58c | 206.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…cdb5backed Wanted Goons | 73c | 206.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Wanted Goons | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Wanted Goons | 29c | 119$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wanted Goons | 35c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Wanted Goons | 62c | 112.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed LAG Gaming | 54c | 112.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked LAG Gaming | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LAG Gaming | 59c | 88.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Wanted Goons | 43c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Wanted Goons | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Wanted Goons | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Wanted Goons | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wanted Goons | 34c | 78.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Wanted Goons | 63c | 77.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Wanted Goons | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 61.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed LAG Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Wanted Goons | 31c | 53.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wanted Goons | 59c | 50.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed LAG Gaming | 41c | 50.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Wanted Goons | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Wanted Goons | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…b651backed LAG Gaming | 40c | 34.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked LAG Gaming | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 33.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed LAG Gaming | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Wanted Goons | 53c | 29.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…2748backed Wanted Goons | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…d18dbacked Wanted Goons | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed LAG Gaming | 55c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 WinnerWanted Goons won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.