CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1990e6ddf2b5a3f305ad1d627f231ba5ba2cca8a2fe8d61545bc2e621d06d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,044 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Guara Esports | 31c | 944.76$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNO MILLE | 67c | 689.5$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Guara Esports | 11c | 672.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Guara Esports | 16c | 574$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE | 79c | 561.61$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…4637backed Guara Esports | 21c | 546$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…dc5abacked Guara Esports | 14c | 545.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed Guara Esports | 11c | 476$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…515cbacked UNO MILLE | 79c | 465$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed Guara Esports | 13c | 458$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed Guara Esports | 9c | 437$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNO MILLE | 75c | 387.33$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…e779backed Guara Esports | 12c | 332$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports | 13c | 292.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…594bbacked Guara Esports | 11c | 273$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guara Esports | 24c | 251.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…11d1backed Guara Esports | 12c | 244$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Guara Esports | 12c | 231$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…b7debacked Guara Esports | 12c | 215$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Guara Esports | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked UNO MILLE | 74c | 193$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guara Esports | 22c | 180.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Guara Esports | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked UNO MILLE | 74c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Guara Esports | 28c | 130.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Guara Esports | 23c | 118.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Guara Esports | 14c | 118.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Guara Esports | 12c | 114.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Guara Esports | 31c | 113.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Guara Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Guara Esports | 31c | 94.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guara Esports | 19c | 88.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Guara Esports | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…fe5cbacked UNO MILLE | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Guara Esports | 32c | 79.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked UNO MILLE | 75c | 60.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Guara Esports | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Guara Esports | 23c | 55.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +201.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed UNO MILLE | 72c | 46.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked UNO MILLE | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed UNO MILLE | 74c | 34.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNO MILLE | 66c | 30.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…b651backed UNO MILLE | 75c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked UNO MILLE | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 19.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UNO MILLE | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports - Map 2 WinnerGuara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.