CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02cff1a33194be01e34a390be68a0ee934c1e45e415373a37b9418d3a255cf2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guara Esportsof UNO MILLE, Guara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,702 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked UNO MILLE | 1c | 2,293$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNO MILLE | 48c | 1,784$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.17 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed UNO MILLE | 60c | 1,508$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.18 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked UNO MILLE | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guara Esports | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNO MILLE | 23c | 636.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…94abbacked Guara Esports | 64c | 500$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed UNO MILLE | 34c | 463.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE | 66c | 418.48$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Guara Esports | 55c | 417.69$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE | 56c | 412.65$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Guara Esports | 53c | 305.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked UNO MILLE | 30c | 290.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Guara Esports | 54c | 231.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Guara Esports | 40c | 193.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Guara Esports | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Guara Esports | 28c | 131.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Guara Esports | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Guara Esports | 63c | 79.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed UNO MILLE | 27c | 56.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Guara Esports | 28c | 50.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked UNO MILLE | 46c | 46.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Guara Esports | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Guara Esports | 60c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked UNO MILLE | 51c | 33.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Guara Esports | 61c | 27.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Guara Esports | 50c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…46d0backed Guara Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StageUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.