TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff95…3c1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yokkaichi: Renta Tokuda vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$13.08
Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milicbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.75
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.24
Miami Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Quentin Halysbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Miami Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$14.51
Murcia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.67
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Zadar: Matej Dodig vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$12.8
Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
Miami Open: Luciano Darderi vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.55
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Flavio Cobollibacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.53
Miami Open: Caty McNally vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Morelos: Michael Mmoh vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.4
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Camila Osoriobacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Miami Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamotobacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Miami Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Miami Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alycia Parksbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs NuTorious (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Reign Above · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Muttley Crew (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.45
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.74
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$21
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.55
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.3
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Counter-Strike: Players vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.54
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick63cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.36
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$20.2
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$20.83
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$23.5
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$17.98
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.59
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$22.88
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$10.75
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.76
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$7.28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$5.46
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$69.82
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$3.35
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$10.61
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$12.47
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$7.15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+39.9%+$5.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$18.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ningbo Rockets vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$11.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.69
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.72
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool A: Colombia vs. Puerto Ricobacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.