NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76acb0ab5f6776aecf71a7e461bcdbf34fb678271ac9cb62aa4f501b4808ebf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa729…9326backed Over | 53c | 31,400$16,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,758 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…1aadbacked Over | 53c | 20,973$11,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,857.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…5557backed Under | 47c | 14,313$6,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,727.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62e…a5b7backed Under | 47c | 14,025$6,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,591.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…6f64backed Over | 53c | 14,023$7,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd4…a5bfbacked Under | 47c | 13,762$6,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…67cdbacked Over | 53c | 12,225$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,745.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…1382backed Over | 53c | 11,070$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…90d0backed Over | 53c | 10,497$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…2ed3backed Over | 53c | 10,092$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…6b7ebacked Over | 53c | 9,590$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…ee0bbacked Under | 47c | 8,847$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c4…c922backed Over | 53c | 8,448$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…e319backed Over | 53c | 6,954$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…064abacked Under | 47c | 6,847$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…3896backed Under | 47c | 6,276$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Under | 47c | 6,110$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.84 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3515…257dbacked Over | 53c | 6,015$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…1c79backed Over | 53c | 5,773$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…cfe1backed Over | 53c | 5,734$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 5,609$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…6ccdbacked Under | 47c | 5,579$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d8…17b1backed Under | 47c | 5,504$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8338…edc2backed Under | 47c | 5,366$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…2640backed Under | 47c | 5,358$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…1cabbacked Under | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…8c6bbacked Under | 47c | 5,225$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…e4e1backed Under | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…ddfdbacked Under | 47c | 5,187$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…6c7cbacked Under | 47c | 5,107$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…2a20backed Under | 47c | 5,094$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…1ed0backed Under | 47c | 5,009$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…70d3backed Under | 47c | 4,979$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…8e9fbacked Over | 53c | 4,892$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd0…1b84backed Under | 47c | 4,874$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b5…ef24backed Under | 47c | 4,870$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…00f4backed Over | 53c | 4,839$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…5681backed Over | 53c | 4,823$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…9ff3backed Under | 47c | 4,821$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2c5cbacked Over | 53c | 4,800$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…2f24backed Over | 53c | 4,792$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…c753backed Under | 47c | 4,779$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…55c0backed Under | 47c | 4,751$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…3ed2backed Over | 53c | 4,747$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…e6a3backed Under | 47c | 4,613$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…220bbacked Under | 47c | 4,600$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 57c | 4,535$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.94 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37f…666fbacked Over | 53c | 4,534$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ba…8f02backed Under | 47c | 4,315$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…3efbbacked Over | 53c | 4,232$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…6229backed Over | 53c | 4,122$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 37c | 4,084$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.84 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…8586backed Over | 53c | 4,021$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…0b3abacked Under | 49c | 3,919$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…9383backed Over | 51c | 3,900$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…0432backed Under | 47c | 3,891$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 3,750$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.47 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…ec5dbacked Over | 53c | 3,379$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099b…d909backed Under | 47c | 3,349$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…0cc6backed Over | 53c | 3,301$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5a2abacked Over | 53c | 3,063$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…0816backed Under | 47c | 3,013$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aaf…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 2,742$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…8e89backed Under | 47c | 2,726$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 2,722$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.38 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…447fbacked Under | 47c | 2,721$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…f58cbacked Under | 47c | 2,719$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…75c6backed Under | 47c | 2,645$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…60bdbacked Under | 47c | 2,528$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb3…33f8backed Over | 53c | 2,520$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…26ffbacked Under | 47c | 2,476$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4dd6backed Under | 47c | 2,464$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…322cbacked Under | 47c | 2,402$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…3ce9backed Under | 47c | 2,397$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51f…36b0backed Under | 47c | 2,347$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…0d10backed Over | 53c | 2,328$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545c…3b68backed Over | 53c | 2,314$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 2,298$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…992bbacked Under | 47c | 2,276$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f39…9040backed Under | 47c | 2,266$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…8324backed Under | 47c | 2,249$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…9c87backed Under | 47c | 2,232$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 2,224$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…9ec1backed Under | 47c | 2,206$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…6cddbacked Under | 47c | 2,183$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…ffb1backed Over | 53c | 2,170$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…0ee5backed Over | 53c | 2,145$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…82d4backed Over | 53c | 2,123$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…9839backed Over | 53c | 2,116$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 2,072$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.87 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 2,062$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.38 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3181…958ebacked Over | 53c | 2,061$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e95…efdebacked Over | 53c | 2,057$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…2defbacked Over | 53c | 1,798$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,684$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…5b3fbacked Over | 53c | 1,544$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 34c | 1,525$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.45 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 54c | 1,498$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.09 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 62c | 1,451$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Raptors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.