NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad60cbed5b67ed1dae50fabc6255a28b9854a322b65e0c8a70764f293b1a9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,380 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 15,554$7,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,115.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 12,930$6,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.08 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 12,576$6,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,476.81 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Under | 49c | 12,456$6,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 54c | 9,500$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Under | 52c | 8,174$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.74 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 3,884$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 3,569$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.79 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 2,284$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…396dbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,856$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 47c | 1,575$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.75 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 1,408$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 1,103$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Over | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Over | 52c | 920.13$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.47 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 853.47$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 764.15$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 748$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Over | 52c | 707.62$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.96 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 687$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 675.52$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 70c | 668.24$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 67c | 608.6$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 582.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.54 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 48c | 577.08$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 52c | 571.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.7 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Over | 53c | 569.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 561.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 47c | 550$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 466.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 54c | 463$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 54c | 423.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 6c | 420$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 412.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 404$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 48c | 370.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 322.32$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 46c | 315.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 299.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 38c | 259.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Under | 48c | 208.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 200.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 196.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 46c | 182.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 46c | 159.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 53c | 159.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 41c | 124.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…39e0backed Under | 69c | 122.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 118.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Over | 54c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 47c | 99.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 86.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 53c | 81.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Under | 69c | 80.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 60c | 73.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 44c | 71.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…56dcbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 45c | 66.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 47c | 65.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 60.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Under | 55c | 53.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 47c | 52.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 44.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 41.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 61c | 36.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 59c | 30.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Over | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…f957backed Under | 48c | 27.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 47c | 27.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 49c | 26.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 48c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 58c | 25.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 53c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fe…98a0backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 46c | 24.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Raptors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.