NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41603d0abff08e340fbc317bc023d621d933bf4cc1016ea7a4c7342402920645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,936 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 38,788$19,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,558.9 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 28,127$14,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,118.58 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 14,344$7,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,186.41 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 10,500$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.91 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 50c | 8,560$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.22 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.13 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 50c | 6,674$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 5,538$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.63 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 51c | 3,910$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.1 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 3,872$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.65 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 3,565$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,495$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 49c | 2,610$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.1 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Over | 51c | 2,590$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Over | 45c | 2,393$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 34c | 2,372$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.43 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 49c | 2,179$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.23 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,062$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,949$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 1,735$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 1,604$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 50c | 1,327$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.3 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,188$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 896.37$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 57c | 826.77$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.85 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 789.27$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.46 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 784$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 17c | 737.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…89d6backed Under | 50c | 670.53$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Under | 63c | 660$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 50c | 613.9$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.05 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Under | 50c | 533.95$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Under | 51c | 513.68$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.87 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 507.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 50c | 365.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Under | 58c | 292.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 49c | 286$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 50c | 253$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 202.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 186.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 150.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 49c | 144$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 42c | 123.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 50c | 119.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 50c | 117$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 37c | 111.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 91.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 82.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 80.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 50c | 72.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Under | 51c | 69.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 46c | 62.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…c760backed Under | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 49c | 51.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 50c | 49.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 50c | 48.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 51c | 43.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 54c | 42.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 43c | 42.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Over | 50c | 42.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 49c | 41.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…6663backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Under | 55c | 29.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Over | 51c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Raptors vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.