TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe905…0efb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$267.31
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.58
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$213.4
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.16
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$211.61
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$68.6
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.5
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$114.08
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$212.62
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$53.3
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$212.4
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$265.89
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$266.98
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.18
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.95
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.29
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$67.37
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$266.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.17
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.28
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.46
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$50.64
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.53
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$179.85
Sao Paulo: Emilio Nava vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$173.22
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.11
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$171.15
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$173.21
Miami Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.03
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.21
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.44
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.58
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$180.05
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$178.15
Miami Open, Qualification: Rafael Jodar vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.01
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.97
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$174.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$70.55
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.53
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.54
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.12
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.9
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.88
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.19
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$175.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.38
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$69.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.2%+$83.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$265.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$176.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.