TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Cameron Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed Cameron Norrie41c30,816$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,75024557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Cameron Norrie7c26,371$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.899744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alex Michelsen78c25,514$19,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,664.62,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Alex Michelsen77c20,284$15,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,739.117963.3%50 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Alex Michelsen69c14,000$9,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Cameron Norrie31c10,000$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.998031.3%25 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cameron Norrie3c9,546$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.146,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alex Michelsen78c8,070$6,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.622,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cameron Norrie33c6,647$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.364,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Cameron Norrie8c5,463$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.718229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Alex Michelsen57c5,228$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.484129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alex Michelsen78c5,118$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.632,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Cameron Norrie36c5,000$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alex Michelsen57c4,942$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.221,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Cameron Norrie27c4,378$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Alex Michelsen65c3,941$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.432657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Michelsen77c3,673$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.628,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cameron Norrie44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Cameron Norrie34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Michelsen66c2,836$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.996,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Cameron Norrie41c2,739$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.919241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Alex Michelsen58c2,226$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.6613251.5%68 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Cameron Norrie26c2,116$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4950731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Cameron Norrie15c2,083$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.219630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Alex Michelsen62c2,021$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.3340748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cameron Norrie3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969b…db70backed Cameron Norrie1c1,818$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cameron Norrie22c1,693$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.183,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe032…ad82backed Cameron Norrie44c1,676$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.334470.5%31 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cameron Norrie25c1,636$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cameron Norrie15c1,586$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.897618.4%14 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cameron Norrie41c1,585$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.841,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Cameron Norrie24c1,464$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.121,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Cameron Norrie41c1,393$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.121,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Alex Michelsen60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Alex Michelsen59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4928855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Alex Michelsen58c1,164$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.0543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f70…9f21backed Alex Michelsen65c1,115$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.132462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Cameron Norrie25c1,080$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9937230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Cameron Norrie38c1,018$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3877346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Alex Michelsen63c949$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.1313351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Alex Michelsen59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36913959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cameron Norrie34c887$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.584,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Alex Michelsen59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3288659.3%51 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Cameron Norrie41c753.77$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0542839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Cameron Norrie19c750$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.259044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Cameron Norrie9c748.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Cameron Norrie42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2943154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c5…5a2fbacked Alex Michelsen73c643.72$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.785759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Alex Michelsen58c613$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.466448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Alex Michelsen77c600$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.244038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe55a…ccfbbacked Cameron Norrie17c558.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.53333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Cameron Norrie36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Cameron Norrie18c518.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9154450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Cameron Norrie5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Cameron Norrie34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cameron Norrie41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Cameron Norrie32c480.59$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.861,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cameron Norrie31c455.55$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.644,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Cameron Norrie23c445.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57eb…beeabacked Cameron Norrie44c442.36$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alex Michelsen78c417.31$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8157252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Alex Michelsen60c397.27$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2342358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Alex Michelsen72c383.05$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2525957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Cameron Norrie42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Alex Michelsen68c352.28$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.281,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Alex Michelsen66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1191,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cameron Norrie14c344.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.851,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Alex Michelsen59c337.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2523353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Cameron Norrie38c331.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4823429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Alex Michelsen50c328$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16427252.9%144 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9cb…973dbacked Cameron Norrie41c308.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201f…a96bbacked Alex Michelsen65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe905…0efbbacked Cameron Norrie42c303.43$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cameron Norrie40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alex Michelsen56c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.51,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61aa…ff6fbacked Alex Michelsen73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Alex Michelsen60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206921.7%15 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cameron Norrie40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Alex Michelsen58c299.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9825546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Alex Michelsen67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Cameron Norrie44c296.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ac…5ea3backed Cameron Norrie12c289.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.124030%12 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Cameron Norrie35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Cameron Norrie41c272.83$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8666139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Cameron Norrie35c254.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Cameron Norrie20c246.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Cameron Norrie10c244.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.023616.7%6 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cameron Norrie25c236$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.997,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4049…25e4backed Cameron Norrie25c233.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Cameron Norrie46c218.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5564537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Alex Michelsen59c211.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8624560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Alex Michelsen71c210.95$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.26553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Michelsen58c205.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.643,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Cameron Norrie18c189.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cameron Norrie35c185$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.871,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alex Michelsen68c179.9$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.571,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Cameron Norrie43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7554348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Alex Michelsen59c170.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8565652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cameron Norrie41c170.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.251,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.