TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe032…ad82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4470.5%31 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Tibo Colsonbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$8.08
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Dominika Salkovabacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$169.83
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,305.78
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.59
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.33
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$261.68
Miami Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.68
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$16.01
Cap Cana: Hubert Hurkacz vs Mattia Belluccibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.43
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
BNP Paribas Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.37
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$5.5
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.91
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busebacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.76
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+209.5%+$23.27
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.6
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51%+$20.38
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Coleman Wongbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.3
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Quentin Halysbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.