Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd62e71e874aa2650b24cce741f72fb053101c6f34672a0a0beafac86dead5805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buseof Fonseca, Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fonseca | 57c | 13,442$7,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,644.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Fonseca | 79c | 12,500$9,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,872.87 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Fonseca | 61c | 10,764$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.79 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…7103backed Fonseca | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Buse | 20c | 8,986$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,182.23 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Buse | 21c | 8,721$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.72 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Fonseca | 77c | 8,439$6,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.74 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Buse | 65c | 6,697$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fonseca | 37c | 5,999$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.62 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fonseca | 58c | 5,879$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.01 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Fonseca | 75c | 5,537$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.77 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Buse | 37c | 4,865$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050.96 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Buse | 32c | 4,552$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Buse | 33c | 4,538$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.09 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Buse | 38c | 4,062$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.15 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Fonseca | 79c | 3,790$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Buse | 42c | 3,016$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.8 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Buse | 34c | 2,776$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.63 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Buse | 78c | 2,567$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.92 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…4795backed Buse | 23c | 2,509$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…ff89backed Fonseca | 78c | 2,122$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.1 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fonseca | 71c | 2,071$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.75 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Buse | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.91 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Buse | 21c | 1,971$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.45 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Buse | 21c | 1,944$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.17 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Buse | 49c | 1,894$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.07 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…a7f7backed Fonseca | 78c | 1,795$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Buse | 27c | 1,704$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.48 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Buse | 22c | 1,636$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.08 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Fonseca | 78c | 1,519$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Buse | 23c | 1,349$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.9 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Buse | 22c | 1,276$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.68 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Fonseca | 80c | 1,271$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Fonseca | 77c | 1,226$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.47 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Fonseca | 79c | 1,210$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.99 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Fonseca | 47c | 1,172$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.3 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Buse | 26c | 1,058$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Fonseca | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Buse | 21c | 891.96$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.65 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Buse | 21c | 876.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.42 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Fonseca | 40c | 874.74$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.82 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Buse | 23c | 860.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.1 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fonseca | 73c | 812.39$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.8 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Buse | 22c | 800$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Buse | 13c | 770$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.9 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Buse | 30c | 703.67$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.57 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Buse | 20c | 700$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Buse | 20c | 686$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.66 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Buse | 21c | 661$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.47 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Buse | 26c | 641.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.65 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Fonseca | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Fonseca | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Buse | 21c | 631.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.11 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Buse | 21c | 607.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.23 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Buse | 21c | 593.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Buse | 29c | 585.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.61 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Buse | 22c | 584.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.01 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Buse | 20c | 564.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.76 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Fonseca | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Fonseca | 22c | 552.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Buse | 24c | 536.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.12 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c50…14dfbacked Fonseca | 78c | 534.88$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Buse | 27c | 522.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.58 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Buse | 21c | 520$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Fonseca | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Buse | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Buse | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Buse | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Fonseca | 78c | 492.59$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Fonseca | 55c | 475.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Buse | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Buse | 24c | 447.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.32 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Fonseca | 79c | 437.37$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Buse | 30c | 424.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.06 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Buse | 23c | 422.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.03 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Buse | 72c | 413.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Fonseca | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Buse | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Buse | 24c | 307.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Fonseca | 55c | 304.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Buse | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Buse | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Buse | 28c | 300$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Buse | 22c | 299.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…d795backed Buse | 67c | 299.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Buse | 34c | 294.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.34 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Fonseca | 80c | 288.37$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Buse | 27c | 263.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Fonseca | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Fonseca | 79c | 252.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Fonseca | 80c | 251.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Buse | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Buse | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Buse | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Buse | 20c | 249.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Buse | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Buse | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Buse | 53c | 212.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Fonseca | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Fonseca | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Busethis page
- Fonseca vs. Buse: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Buse: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs BuseFonseca won
- Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)Buse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.