Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e7b22c7450fbccf515ac7da064b6b6d1c76f187a626a6e6be5126e04c64e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,867,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,867,684 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,011 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 57c | 355,555$202,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,888.61 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 43c | 217,000$93,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,310.04 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 43c | 91,620$39,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,396.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 43c | 82,577$35,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,744 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 72,614$41,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,118.55 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 68,054$13,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,381.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 58c | 53,122$30,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,572.86 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 57c | 50,023$28,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,510.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 58c | 43,103$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,103.45 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 43c | 35,200$15,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,135.97 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 57c | 35,088$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,087.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 34,785$14,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,609.64 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 31,617$13,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,574.13 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 57c | 25,910$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,110.47 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 57c | 24,200$13,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,406 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 43c | 22,000$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,460 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 20,314$8,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,680.7 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 20,076$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,476.44 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 19,028$11,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,752.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 43c | 18,888$8,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,121.83 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 43c | 18,605$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 43c | 17,566$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 43c | 17,400$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,482 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 58c | 17,321$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 0c | 15,774$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 14,661$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 43c | 14,581$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.97 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 52c | 14,500$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,539.93 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 43c | 14,333$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,166.52 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 14,158$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 42c | 12,237$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,139.63 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 42c | 12,000$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.95 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 44c | 11,525$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.28 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 56c | 11,498$6,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 45c | 10,440$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.85 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.96 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 57c | 9,410$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.3 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 57c | 9,378$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.92 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 56c | 8,871$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.08 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 43c | 8,500$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 43c | 8,205$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.91 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed No | 43c | 6,538$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 43c | 6,232$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 6,101$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.02 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.01 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 42c | 5,842$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 44c | 5,700$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.87 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 5,046$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.65 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 53c | 4,847$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Yes | 57c | 4,803$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 5c | 4,720$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 43c | 4,415$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 43c | 4,350$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.47 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 57c | 4,211$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 43c | 4,186$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 4,063$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.74 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 78c | 3,847$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.84 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 50c | 3,677$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 43c | 3,480$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 3,461$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.41 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 4c | 3,356$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 3,355$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.68 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.86 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 63c | 3,194$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 43c | 3,087$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes | 56c | 2,699$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 43c | 2,697$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…8063backed Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 43c | 2,595$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.85 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 57c | 2,567$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 2,529$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.26 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,369$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.81 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.67 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked No | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 44c | 2,164$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 2,117$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.72 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 2,114$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.03 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 43c | 2,100$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 56c | 2,035$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec91…c229backed Yes | 50c | 2,018$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.